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Indian Defense: Paleface Attack, Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Deferred

93K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score48.9%Range (90% confident): 48.6% – 49.1%Based on 93K games
0%48.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 48.6% – 49.1%
Outcome Distribution
47.1%3.6%49.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.e4
Indian Defense: Paleface Attack, Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Deferred
Analyzen=93K
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.6%

What is the Indian Defense: Paleface Attack, Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Deferred expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Indian Defense: Paleface Attack, Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Deferred has a 48.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 48.6% and 49.1%), based on 93K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +9.7% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 13.4% · UltraBullet best · Classical worst

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 44% → 46%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 43.5% win rate (21,001 games)
  • 1000-1199: 46.0% win rate (13,557 games)
  • 1200-1399: 46.0% win rate (11,055 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.0% win rate (11,456 games)
  • 1600-1799: 49.7% win rate (13,843 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.2% win rate (12,926 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.0% win rate (6,154 games)
  • 2200-2499: 54.1% win rate (2,899 games)
  • 2500+: 46.2% win rate (270 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (52%), worst in Classical (39%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 52.0% win rate (1,774 games)
  • Bullet: 48.7% win rate (35,535 games)
  • Blitz: 46.5% win rate (36,730 games)
  • Rapid: 44.8% win rate (18,387 games)
  • Classical: 38.6% win rate (735 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 34.6% expected score (18 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 46.2% expected score (4,042 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 46.3% expected score (10,815 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 44.8% expected score (6,063 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 43.1% expected score (63 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 45.3% expected score (51 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 49.0% expected score (3,952 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (5,809 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 46.4% expected score (3,563 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 43.2% expected score (182 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 53.8% expected score (172 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.9% expected score (4,386 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 46.8% expected score (4,372 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 44.5% expected score (1,944 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 33.6% expected score (181 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 51.2% expected score (847 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.4% expected score (4,665 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (4,262 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 43.4% expected score (1,508 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 37.8% expected score (174 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 53.9% expected score (531 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.5% expected score (6,119 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (4,080 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 54.3% expected score (3,056 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 37.2% expected score (57 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 55.8% expected score (119 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.0% expected score (7,079 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.6% expected score (4,084 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.5% expected score (1,602 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 60.4% expected score (42 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 65.9% expected score (30 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.5% expected score (3,672 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.3% expected score (1,964 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.3% expected score (457 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 53.1% expected score (31 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 23.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (1,516 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 61.1% expected score (1,198 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 57.2% expected score (174 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 52.9% expected score (104 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 51.4% expected score (146 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 26.8% expected score (20 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Indian Defense
49.6%
Variations (5)
Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Adorjan Gambit
47.8%
Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Advance Variation
46.1%
Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Alekhine Variation
48.6%
Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Alekhine Variation, Leko Gambit
48.0%
Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Basman-Williams Attack
48.4%
Analyze Indian Defense: Paleface Attack, Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Deferred PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Indian Defense: Paleface Attack, Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Deferred win rate?

The Indian Defense: Paleface Attack, Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Deferred has a 47.1% (90% CI: 46.8%-47.3%) win rate for white, based on 93K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Indian Defense: Paleface Attack, Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Deferred perform best?

The Indian Defense: Paleface Attack, Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Deferred performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 54.1% win rate for white (2.9K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Indian Defense: Paleface Attack, Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Deferred better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (52.0%) outperforms Classical (38.6%) by 13.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Indian Defense: Paleface Attack, Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Deferred?

The Indian Defense: Paleface Attack, Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Deferred has a sharpness score of 96.4 (very decisive), meaning 96.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the Indian Defense: Paleface Attack, Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Deferred win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Indian Defense: Paleface Attack, Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Deferred has a 43.5% (90% CI: 42.9%-44.0%) win rate for white, based on 21K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Paleface Attack, Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Deferred win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Indian Defense: Paleface Attack, Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Deferred has a 46.0% (90% CI: 45.3%-46.7%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Paleface Attack, Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Deferred win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Indian Defense: Paleface Attack, Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Deferred has a 46.0% (90% CI: 45.2%-46.8%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Paleface Attack, Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Deferred win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Indian Defense: Paleface Attack, Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Deferred has a 47.0% (90% CI: 46.2%-47.7%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Paleface Attack, Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Deferred win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Indian Defense: Paleface Attack, Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Deferred has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.0%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Paleface Attack, Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Deferred win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Indian Defense: Paleface Attack, Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Deferred has a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.4%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Paleface Attack, Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Deferred win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Indian Defense: Paleface Attack, Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Deferred has a 50.0% (90% CI: 48.9%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 6.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Paleface Attack, Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Deferred win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Indian Defense: Paleface Attack, Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Deferred has a 54.1% (90% CI: 52.6%-55.6%) win rate for white, based on 2.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Paleface Attack, Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Deferred win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Indian Defense: Paleface Attack, Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Deferred has a 46.2% (90% CI: 41.3%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 270 Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 7.6% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Paleface Attack, Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Deferred win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Indian Defense: Paleface Attack, Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Deferred has a 52.0% (90% CI: 50.1%-54.0%) win rate for white (1.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.6%.

What is the Indian Defense: Paleface Attack, Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Deferred win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Indian Defense: Paleface Attack, Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Deferred has a 48.7% (90% CI: 48.3%-49.2%) win rate for white (36K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.3%.

What is the Indian Defense: Paleface Attack, Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Deferred win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Indian Defense: Paleface Attack, Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Deferred has a 46.5% (90% CI: 46.1%-46.9%) win rate for white (37K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

What is the Indian Defense: Paleface Attack, Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Deferred win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Indian Defense: Paleface Attack, Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Deferred has a 44.8% (90% CI: 44.2%-45.4%) win rate for white (18K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.

What is the Indian Defense: Paleface Attack, Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Deferred win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Indian Defense: Paleface Attack, Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Deferred has a 38.6% (90% CI: 35.7%-41.6%) win rate for white (735 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

Is the Indian Defense: Paleface Attack, Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Deferred a good opening?

The Indian Defense: Paleface Attack, Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Deferred is statistically balanced with a 47.1% (90% CI: 46.8%-47.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.