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Indian Defense: Medusa Gambit

14K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score60.2%Range (90% confident): 59.5% – 60.8%Based on 14K games
0%60.2%100%
Range (90% confident): 59.5% – 60.8%
Outcome Distribution
58.5%3.4%38.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
2...g5
Indian Defense: Medusa Gambit
Analyzen=14K
Avg Length30 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.4%

What is the Indian Defense: Medusa Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Indian Defense: Medusa Gambit has a 60.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 59.5% and 60.8%), based on 14K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 8.4% · Rapid best · UltraBullet worst

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 57% → 62%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 56.8% win rate (721 games)
  • 1000-1199: 61.7% win rate (975 games)
  • 1200-1399: 61.3% win rate (1,388 games)
  • 1400-1599: 60.2% win rate (1,982 games)
  • 1600-1799: 56.4% win rate (2,589 games)
  • 1800-1999: 57.4% win rate (2,774 games)
  • 2000-2199: 59.0% win rate (2,126 games)
  • 2200-2499: 55.7% win rate (1,282 games)
  • 2500+: 62.3% win rate (256 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (65%), worst in UltraBullet (53%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 52.9% win rate (128 games)
  • Bullet: 56.9% win rate (5,955 games)
  • Blitz: 59.2% win rate (6,125 games)
  • Rapid: 61.3% win rate (1,806 games)
  • Classical: 65.2% win rate (79 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 58.0% expected score (217 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 57.4% expected score (335 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 61.1% expected score (166 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 61.3% expected score (357 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 63.4% expected score (410 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 65.9% expected score (194 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 62.9% expected score (14 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 60.9% expected score (543 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 62.3% expected score (576 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 66.2% expected score (248 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 67.7% expected score (7 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 59.0% expected score (32 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 56.8% expected score (770 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 64.0% expected score (907 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 64.8% expected score (249 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 69.6% expected score (24 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 40.7% expected score (36 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 55.9% expected score (996 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 58.2% expected score (1,199 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 64.0% expected score (342 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (16 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 62.3% expected score (27 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 58.1% expected score (1,069 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 59.7% expected score (1,284 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 61.1% expected score (377 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 60.9% expected score (17 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 60.8% expected score (999 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 61.9% expected score (944 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 61.0% expected score (172 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 56.0% expected score (791 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 60.7% expected score (429 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 63.1% expected score (56 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 62.8% expected score (213 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 77.1% expected score (41 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 78.6% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Indian Defense
49.6%
Variations (5)
Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Adorjan Gambit
47.8%
Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Advance Variation
46.1%
Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Alekhine Variation
48.6%
Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Alekhine Variation, Leko Gambit
48.0%
Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Basman-Williams Attack
48.4%
Analyze Indian Defense: Medusa Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Indian Defense: Medusa Gambit win rate?

The Indian Defense: Medusa Gambit has a 58.5% (90% CI: 57.8%-59.1%) win rate for white, based on 14K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Indian Defense: Medusa Gambit perform best?

The Indian Defense: Medusa Gambit performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 61.7% win rate for white (975 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Indian Defense: Medusa Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (61.3%) outperforms UltraBullet (52.9%) by 8.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Indian Defense: Medusa Gambit?

The Indian Defense: Medusa Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.6 (very decisive), meaning 96.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.

What is the Indian Defense: Medusa Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Indian Defense: Medusa Gambit has a 56.8% (90% CI: 53.8%-59.8%) win rate for white, based on 721 Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Medusa Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Indian Defense: Medusa Gambit has a 61.7% (90% CI: 59.1%-64.2%) win rate for white, based on 975 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Medusa Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Indian Defense: Medusa Gambit has a 61.3% (90% CI: 59.1%-63.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Medusa Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Indian Defense: Medusa Gambit has a 60.2% (90% CI: 58.4%-62.0%) win rate for white, based on 2.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Medusa Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Indian Defense: Medusa Gambit has a 56.4% (90% CI: 54.8%-58.0%) win rate for white, based on 2.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Medusa Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Indian Defense: Medusa Gambit has a 57.4% (90% CI: 55.9%-59.0%) win rate for white, based on 2.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Medusa Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Indian Defense: Medusa Gambit has a 59.0% (90% CI: 57.3%-60.8%) win rate for white, based on 2.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Medusa Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Indian Defense: Medusa Gambit has a 55.7% (90% CI: 53.4%-57.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Medusa Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Indian Defense: Medusa Gambit has a 62.3% (90% CI: 57.3%-67.2%) win rate for white, based on 256 Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.4% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Medusa Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Indian Defense: Medusa Gambit has a 52.9% (90% CI: 45.7%-60.1%) win rate for white (128 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.2%.

What is the Indian Defense: Medusa Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Indian Defense: Medusa Gambit has a 56.9% (90% CI: 55.8%-57.9%) win rate for white (6.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.

What is the Indian Defense: Medusa Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Indian Defense: Medusa Gambit has a 59.2% (90% CI: 58.1%-60.2%) win rate for white (6.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.5%.

What is the Indian Defense: Medusa Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Indian Defense: Medusa Gambit has a 61.3% (90% CI: 59.4%-63.2%) win rate for white (1.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

Is the Indian Defense: Medusa Gambit a good opening?

The Indian Defense: Medusa Gambit is statistically favors white with a 58.5% (90% CI: 57.8%-59.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.