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Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Alekhine Variation

35K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Analyze this line move by move

White expected score · All ratings · All speeds

51.0%

45%55%
Floor50.6%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 51.5%.

Measured over 35K games at this level and clock.

Playablewins about as often as it loses at this level

Roughly even — the middlegame decides more than this opening choice does.

Outcomes for White

Draw 4.9 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 35K games

Rank among the families White can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
35K
Best context
57.1% at 2500+ Blitz
Worst context
44.0% at 1200-1399 Rapid
Average game length
36 moves
Games that end decisively
95.1%
Draws
4.9%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Where it holds · White score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 44.2% at 0-999, 55.0% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 43.5% expected score (205 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 48.7% expected score (711 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 48.6% expected score (245 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 49.1% expected score (487 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 47.2% expected score (1,132 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 47.4% expected score (467 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 37.0% expected score (10 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.0% expected score (642 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (873 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 44.0% expected score (604 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (21 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 46.6% expected score (13 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 47.7% expected score (885 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.2% expected score (1,044 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 49.7% expected score (478 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 41.4% expected score (51 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 46.6% expected score (13 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.2% expected score (1,003 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.4% expected score (1,864 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 51.3% expected score (412 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 51.3% expected score (36 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 47.4% expected score (1,208 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.5% expected score (3,160 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 46.9% expected score (583 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 51.9% expected score (52 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.9% expected score (1,842 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.9% expected score (4,951 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 51.2% expected score (906 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 55.6% expected score (43 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.7% expected score (1,944 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.5% expected score (5,882 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 54.5% expected score (625 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 47.5% expected score (18 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.6% expected score (1,590 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 57.1% expected score (1,023 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 54.0% expected score (123 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 54.4% expected score (10 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Indian Defense
49.6%
Variations (5)
Indian Defense: Wade-Tartakower Defense
49.2%
Indian Defense: Normal Variation
50.3%
Indian Defense: London System
50.8%
Indian Defense: Knights Variation
50.9%
Indian Defense: Budapest Defense
48.1%
Continuations (1)
Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Alekhine Variation, Leko Gambit
48.0%
Analyze Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Alekhine Variation PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Alekhine Variation scores 51.0% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 50.6% and 51.5% — from 35K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
35K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Alekhine Variation win rate?

Playing the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Alekhine Variation, White wins 48.6%, draws 4.9% and loses 46.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.0%. It rests on 35K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Alekhine Variation perform best?

The Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Alekhine Variation performs best for White at 2500+, with an Expected Score of 55.5% (2.7K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Alekhine Variation better in blitz or rapid?

For White, the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Alekhine Variation scores higher in Blitz: an Expected Score of 51.7% in Blitz (21K games) against 49.5% in Rapid (4.4K games).

How sharp is the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Alekhine Variation?

The Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Alekhine Variation has a sharpness score of 95.1 (very decisive), meaning 95.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Alekhine Variation win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, White wins 45.9%, draws 3.6% and loses 50.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.7%. It rests on 1.2K Lichess games, which average 30 moves.

What is the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Alekhine Variation win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, White wins 46.0%, draws 3.3% and loses 50.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.6%. It rests on 2.1K Lichess games, which average 32 moves.

What is the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Alekhine Variation win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, White wins 45.8%, draws 2.7% and loses 51.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.2%. It rests on 2.1K Lichess games, which average 32 moves.

What is the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Alekhine Variation win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, White wins 48.1%, draws 2.4% and loses 49.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.4%. It rests on 2.5K Lichess games, which average 33 moves.

What is the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Alekhine Variation win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, White wins 48.1%, draws 3.6% and loses 48.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.9%. It rests on 3.3K Lichess games, which average 34 moves.

What is the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Alekhine Variation win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, White wins 47.4%, draws 3.8% and loses 48.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.3%. It rests on 5.0K Lichess games, which average 35 moves.

What is the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Alekhine Variation win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, White wins 47.7%, draws 4.6% and loses 47.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.0%. It rests on 7.7K Lichess games, which average 36 moves.

What is the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Alekhine Variation win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, White wins 52.0%, draws 5.0% and loses 43.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.5%. It rests on 8.5K Lichess games, which average 39 moves.

What is the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Alekhine Variation win rate at 2500+?

At 2500+, White wins 48.3%, draws 14.4% and loses 37.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.5%. It rests on 2.7K Lichess games, which average 44 moves.

What is the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Alekhine Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, White wins 48.3%, draws 4.2% and loses 47.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.4%. It rests on 9.8K Lichess games.

What is the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Alekhine Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, White wins 49.2%, draws 4.8% and loses 45.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.7%. It rests on 21K Lichess games.

What is the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Alekhine Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, White wins 46.3%, draws 6.3% and loses 47.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.5%. It rests on 4.4K Lichess games.

What is the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Alekhine Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical, White wins 42.9%, draws 10.1% and loses 47.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.0%. It rests on 242 Lichess games.

Is the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Alekhine Variation a good opening?

The Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Alekhine Variation is about level. Across all ratings, White wins 48.6% of its games and loses 46.6%. It performs best at 2500+. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.