458 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Alekhine Variation, Leko Gambit is balanced for Black at 49.6% expected score.
Results are roughly even — the middlegame decides more than this opening choice does.
Sharpness — share of games that end decisively
At all ratings, the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Alekhine Variation, Leko Gambit has a 49.6% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 45.8% and 53.4%), based on 458 Lichess games.
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Declines with rating: 56% → 37%
Best in Bullet (57%), worst in Classical (14%)
Click any cell to filter — click it again to clear. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1000-1199 | — | — | |||
| 1200-1399 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1400-1599 | — | — | |||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | — | — | |||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | |||
| 2500+ | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Alekhine Variation, Leko Gambit has a 48.0% (90% CI: 44.2%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 458 rated games from Lichess.
The Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Alekhine Variation, Leko Gambit performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 55.9% win rate for white (71 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Blitz (49.5%) outperforms Bullet (40.1%) by 9.4%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Alekhine Variation, Leko Gambit has a sharpness score of 95.1 (very decisive), meaning 95.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Alekhine Variation, Leko Gambit has a 41.0% (90% CI: 33.9%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 124 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Alekhine Variation, Leko Gambit has a 50.9% (90% CI: 45.1%-56.6%) win rate for white, based on 204 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Alekhine Variation, Leko Gambit has a 40.1% (90% CI: 32.3%-48.1%) win rate for white (102 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.
In Blitz games, the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Alekhine Variation, Leko Gambit has a 49.5% (90% CI: 45.0%-54.0%) win rate for white (333 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.
The Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Alekhine Variation, Leko Gambit is slightly favors black with a 48.0% (90% CI: 44.2%-51.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.