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Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Vienna Variation

19K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score53.8%Range (90% confident): 53.2% – 54.4%Based on 19K games
0%53.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.2% – 54.4%
Outcome Distribution
51.1%5.3%43.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
6.Qb3
Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Vienna Variation
Analyzen=19K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate5.3%

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Vienna Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Vienna Variation has a 53.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.2% and 54.4%), based on 19K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 53% → 55%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 52.9% win rate (41 games)
  • 1000-1199: 46.2% win rate (138 games)
  • 1200-1399: 53.3% win rate (485 games)
  • 1400-1599: 54.2% win rate (1,064 games)
  • 1600-1799: 49.3% win rate (2,238 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.0% win rate (4,086 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.5% win rate (5,348 games)
  • 2200-2499: 52.7% win rate (4,805 games)
  • 2500+: 55.3% win rate (1,091 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Blitz (52%), worst in UltraBullet (20%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 20.0% win rate (1 games)
  • Bullet: 50.4% win rate (5,179 games)
  • Blitz: 51.5% win rate (12,286 games)
  • Rapid: 50.7% win rate (1,768 games)
  • Classical: 43.3% win rate (62 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399——
1400-1599
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 54.7% expected score (20 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 62.9% expected score (18 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 45.9% expected score (47 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 48.2% expected score (80 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 58.7% expected score (10 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (171 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 55.6% expected score (268 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 57.4% expected score (46 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 54.8% expected score (313 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 56.5% expected score (622 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 54.1% expected score (122 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (714 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.9% expected score (1,248 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 52.5% expected score (259 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 41.9% expected score (17 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (952 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.1% expected score (2,568 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 51.3% expected score (539 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 43.0% expected score (27 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.8% expected score (1,151 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.6% expected score (3,591 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 54.7% expected score (595 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 86.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.7% expected score (1,333 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 56.8% expected score (3,288 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 60.5% expected score (184 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.1% expected score (478 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 62.8% expected score (603 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 84.8% expected score (10 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Grünfeld Defense
45.8%
Variations (5)
Grünfeld Defense: Botvinnik Variation
47.7%
Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack
49.6%
Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit
45.9%
Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit Accepted
51.6%
Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit, Botvinnik Variation
45.0%
Analyze Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Vienna Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Vienna Variation win rate?

The Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Vienna Variation has a 51.1% (90% CI: 50.5%-51.7%) win rate for white, based on 19K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Vienna Variation perform best?

The Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Vienna Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 55.3% win rate for white (1.1K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Vienna Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (51.5%) outperforms Classical (43.3%) by 8.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Vienna Variation?

The Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Vienna Variation has a sharpness score of 94.7 (decisive), meaning 94.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Vienna Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Vienna Variation has a 46.2% (90% CI: 39.3%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 138 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Vienna Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Vienna Variation has a 53.3% (90% CI: 49.6%-57.0%) win rate for white, based on 485 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Vienna Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Vienna Variation has a 54.2% (90% CI: 51.7%-56.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Vienna Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Vienna Variation has a 49.3% (90% CI: 47.6%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 2.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Vienna Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Vienna Variation has a 50.0% (90% CI: 48.7%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 4.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Vienna Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Vienna Variation has a 49.5% (90% CI: 48.4%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 5.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.6% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Vienna Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Vienna Variation has a 52.7% (90% CI: 51.5%-53.9%) win rate for white, based on 4.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.6% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Vienna Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Vienna Variation has a 55.3% (90% CI: 52.9%-57.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 8.6% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Vienna Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Vienna Variation has a 50.4% (90% CI: 49.2%-51.5%) win rate for white (5.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Vienna Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Vienna Variation has a 51.5% (90% CI: 50.7%-52.2%) win rate for white (12K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.1%.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Vienna Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Vienna Variation has a 50.7% (90% CI: 48.7%-52.6%) win rate for white (1.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.9%.

Is the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Vienna Variation a good opening?

The Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Vienna Variation is statistically favors white with a 51.1% (90% CI: 50.5%-51.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.