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Grünfeld Defense: Stockholm Variation

228K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score50.8%Range (90% confident): 50.7% – 51.0%Based on 228K games
0%50.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.7% – 51.0%
Outcome Distribution
48.5%4.7%46.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
4.Bg5
Grünfeld Defense: Stockholm Variation
Analyzen=228K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.7%

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Stockholm Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Grünfeld Defense: Stockholm Variation has a 50.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.7% and 51.0%), based on 228K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~51%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 51.3% win rate (586 games)
  • 1000-1199: 50.0% win rate (3,015 games)
  • 1200-1399: 50.3% win rate (9,517 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.2% win rate (24,701 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.5% win rate (50,276 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.1% win rate (65,633 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.0% win rate (45,421 games)
  • 2200-2499: 50.8% win rate (24,267 games)
  • 2500+: 50.1% win rate (4,676 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (53%), worst in Classical (43%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 53.0% win rate (90 games)
  • Bullet: 48.9% win rate (70,070 games)
  • Blitz: 48.5% win rate (131,296 games)
  • Rapid: 46.9% win rate (25,709 games)
  • Classical: 42.9% win rate (927 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (285 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 52.6% expected score (251 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 48.1% expected score (49 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.7% expected score (1,410 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 51.4% expected score (1,373 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 52.0% expected score (223 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 57.5% expected score (12 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (4,050 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.1% expected score (4,579 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 47.9% expected score (867 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 59.6% expected score (9 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 52.8% expected score (17 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (9,033 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.8% expected score (13,115 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.4% expected score (2,453 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 45.9% expected score (83 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 59.0% expected score (43 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.2% expected score (14,163 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.6% expected score (30,137 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (5,686 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 44.2% expected score (247 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 42.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.2% expected score (15,298 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.7% expected score (41,092 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 49.2% expected score (8,865 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 45.5% expected score (367 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.3% expected score (12,716 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.6% expected score (26,686 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.3% expected score (5,825 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.6% expected score (191 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (10,126 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.3% expected score (12,517 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 52.4% expected score (1,603 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (21 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 53.4% expected score (2,989 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 58.9% expected score (1,546 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 54.0% expected score (138 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Grünfeld Defense
45.8%
Variations (5)
Grünfeld Defense: Botvinnik Variation
47.7%
Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack
49.6%
Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit
45.9%
Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit Accepted
51.6%
Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit, Botvinnik Variation
45.0%
Analyze Grünfeld Defense: Stockholm Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Stockholm Variation win rate?

The Grünfeld Defense: Stockholm Variation has a 48.5% (90% CI: 48.3%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 228K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Grünfeld Defense: Stockholm Variation perform best?

The Grünfeld Defense: Stockholm Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 50.8% win rate for white (24K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Grünfeld Defense: Stockholm Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (48.9%) outperforms Classical (42.9%) by 6.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Grünfeld Defense: Stockholm Variation?

The Grünfeld Defense: Stockholm Variation has a sharpness score of 95.3 (very decisive), meaning 95.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Stockholm Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Stockholm Variation has a 51.3% (90% CI: 47.9%-54.7%) win rate for white, based on 586 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Stockholm Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Stockholm Variation has a 50.0% (90% CI: 48.5%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 3.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Stockholm Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Stockholm Variation has a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.5%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 9.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Stockholm Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Stockholm Variation has a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.6%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 25K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Stockholm Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Stockholm Variation has a 48.5% (90% CI: 48.1%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 50K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Stockholm Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Stockholm Variation has a 47.1% (90% CI: 46.8%-47.5%) win rate for white, based on 66K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Stockholm Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Stockholm Variation has a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.6%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 45K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Stockholm Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Stockholm Variation has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.2%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 24K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 7.0% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Stockholm Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Stockholm Variation has a 50.1% (90% CI: 48.9%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 4.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 10.3% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Stockholm Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Grünfeld Defense: Stockholm Variation has a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.6%-49.2%) win rate for white (70K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.3%.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Stockholm Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Grünfeld Defense: Stockholm Variation has a 48.5% (90% CI: 48.3%-48.8%) win rate for white (131K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.1%.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Stockholm Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Grünfeld Defense: Stockholm Variation has a 46.9% (90% CI: 46.4%-47.4%) win rate for white (26K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.9%.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Stockholm Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Grünfeld Defense: Stockholm Variation has a 42.9% (90% CI: 40.3%-45.6%) win rate for white (927 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.9%.

Is the Grünfeld Defense: Stockholm Variation a good opening?

The Grünfeld Defense: Stockholm Variation is statistically balanced with a 48.5% (90% CI: 48.3%-48.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.