What is the Grünfeld Defense: Smyslov Defense expected score for White?
At all ratings, the Grünfeld Defense: Smyslov Defense has a 49.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 49.2% and 50.1%), based on 32K Lichess games.
32K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Grünfeld Defense: Smyslov Defense has a 49.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 49.2% and 50.1%), based on 32K Lichess games.
Improves with rating: 47% → 51%
Best in Rapid (48%), worst in Classical (43%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | |||
| 1000-1199 | — | ||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | — | ||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | — | ||||
| 2500+ | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Grünfeld Defense: Smyslov Defense has a 46.8% (90% CI: 46.3%-47.2%) win rate for white, based on 32K rated games from Lichess.
The Grünfeld Defense: Smyslov Defense performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 49.8% win rate for white (1.8K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Blitz (47.8%) outperforms Classical (43.3%) by 4.5%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Grünfeld Defense: Smyslov Defense has a sharpness score of 94.3 (decisive), meaning 94.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 39 moves.
At 0-999 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Smyslov Defense has a 47.3% (90% CI: 42.2%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 251 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Smyslov Defense has a 45.8% (90% CI: 43.0%-48.7%) win rate for white, based on 820 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Smyslov Defense has a 49.8% (90% CI: 47.8%-51.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Smyslov Defense has a 38.9% (90% CI: 37.7%-40.1%) win rate for white, based on 4.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 44 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Smyslov Defense has a 47.5% (90% CI: 46.4%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 5.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Smyslov Defense has a 47.6% (90% CI: 46.7%-48.5%) win rate for white, based on 8.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Smyslov Defense has a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.0%-49.0%) win rate for white, based on 6.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Smyslov Defense has a 49.1% (90% CI: 47.7%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 3.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 7.8% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Smyslov Defense has a 50.5% (90% CI: 47.5%-53.5%) win rate for white, based on 740 Lichess games. Average game length is 46 moves with a 9.5% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the Grünfeld Defense: Smyslov Defense has a 45.0% (90% CI: 44.3%-45.8%) win rate for white (12K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.
In Blitz games, the Grünfeld Defense: Smyslov Defense has a 47.8% (90% CI: 47.2%-48.4%) win rate for white (17K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.2%.
In Rapid games, the Grünfeld Defense: Smyslov Defense has a 47.9% (90% CI: 46.4%-49.3%) win rate for white (3.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.3%.
In Classical games, the Grünfeld Defense: Smyslov Defense has a 43.3% (90% CI: 36.4%-50.3%) win rate for white (136 Lichess games). Draw rate is 9.1%.
The Grünfeld Defense: Smyslov Defense is statistically balanced with a 46.8% (90% CI: 46.3%-47.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.