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Grünfeld Defense: Lundin Variation

443 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score58.4%Range (90% confident): 54.5% – 62.2%Based on 443 games
0%58.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 54.5% – 62.2%
Outcome Distribution
57.3%2.1%40.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
6...c5
Grünfeld Defense: Lundin Variation
Analyzen=443
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness98%
Draw Rate2.1%

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Lundin Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Grünfeld Defense: Lundin Variation has a 58.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 54.5% and 62.2%), based on 443 Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 43% → 56%

1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 1200-1399: 42.9% win rate (2 games)
  • 1400-1599: 86.2% win rate (13 games)
  • 1600-1799: 53.8% win rate (31 games)
  • 1800-1999: 57.0% win rate (73 games)
  • 2000-2199: 56.0% win rate (160 games)
  • 2200-2499: 55.7% win rate (143 games)
  • 2500+: 55.6% win rate (21 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Similar across time controls (~57%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid

  • Bullet: 57.4% win rate (184 games)
  • Blitz: 56.9% win rate (249 games)
  • Rapid: 56.5% win rate (10 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—————
1000-1199—————
1200-1399————
1400-1599——
1600-1799——
1800-1999——
2000-2199——
2200-2499———
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 81.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 86.4% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 76.1% expected score (10 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 47.5% expected score (18 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 62.2% expected score (15 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 56.2% expected score (55 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.9% expected score (52 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 58.9% expected score (105 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 57.0% expected score (78 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 57.6% expected score (65 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 52.5% expected score (19 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 78.6% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Grünfeld Defense
45.8%
Variations (5)
Grünfeld Defense: Botvinnik Variation
47.7%
Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack
49.6%
Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit
45.9%
Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit Accepted
51.6%
Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit, Botvinnik Variation
45.0%
Analyze Grünfeld Defense: Lundin Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Lundin Variation win rate?

The Grünfeld Defense: Lundin Variation has a 57.3% (90% CI: 53.4%-61.1%) win rate for white, based on 443 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Grünfeld Defense: Lundin Variation perform best?

The Grünfeld Defense: Lundin Variation performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 56.0% win rate for white (160 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Grünfeld Defense: Lundin Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (56.9%) outperforms Bullet (57.4%) by -0.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Grünfeld Defense: Lundin Variation?

The Grünfeld Defense: Lundin Variation has a sharpness score of 97.9 (very decisive), meaning 97.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Lundin Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Lundin Variation has a 56.0% (90% CI: 49.6%-62.4%) win rate for white, based on 160 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 1.5% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Lundin Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Lundin Variation has a 55.7% (90% CI: 48.9%-62.4%) win rate for white, based on 143 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Lundin Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Grünfeld Defense: Lundin Variation has a 57.4% (90% CI: 51.4%-63.3%) win rate for white (184 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.3%.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Lundin Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Grünfeld Defense: Lundin Variation has a 56.9% (90% CI: 51.7%-62.0%) win rate for white (249 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.6%.

Is the Grünfeld Defense: Lundin Variation a good opening?

The Grünfeld Defense: Lundin Variation is statistically favors white with a 57.3% (90% CI: 53.4%-61.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.