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Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit, Botvinnik Variation

335 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score49.3%Range (90% confident): 44.8% – 53.7%Based on 335 games
0%49.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 44.8% – 53.7%
Outcome Distribution
45.0%8.5%46.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
7...Be6
Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit, Botvinnik Variation
Analyzen=335
Avg Length37 moves
Sharpness92%
Draw Rate8.5%

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit, Botvinnik Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit, Botvinnik Variation has a 49.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 44.8% and 53.7%), based on 335 Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 20% → 48%

1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 1400-1599: 20.0% win rate (1 games)
  • 1600-1799: 20.0% win rate (1 games)
  • 1800-1999: 30.4% win rate (10 games)
  • 2000-2199: 31.5% win rate (54 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.8% win rate (186 games)
  • 2500+: 47.9% win rate (83 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Blitz (47%), worst in Classical (14%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 37.6% win rate (61 games)
  • Blitz: 47.1% win rate (252 games)
  • Rapid: 44.2% win rate (20 games)
  • Classical: 14.3% win rate (2 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—————
1000-1199—————
1200-1399—————
1400-1599————
1600-1799————
1800-1999——
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 40.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 29.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 41.8% expected score (41 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 13.7% expected score (4 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 29.3% expected score (13 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.7% expected score (164 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 78.6% expected score (9 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 51.4% expected score (36 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 57.7% expected score (44 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 38.9% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Grünfeld Defense
45.8%
Variations (5)
Grünfeld Defense: Botvinnik Variation
47.7%
Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack
49.6%
Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit
45.9%
Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit Accepted
51.6%
Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit, Capablanca Variation
50.6%
Analyze Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit, Botvinnik Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit, Botvinnik Variation win rate?

The Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit, Botvinnik Variation has a 45.0% (90% CI: 40.6%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 335 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit, Botvinnik Variation perform best?

The Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit, Botvinnik Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 48.8% win rate for white (186 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit, Botvinnik Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (47.1%) outperforms Bullet (37.6%) by 9.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit, Botvinnik Variation?

The Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit, Botvinnik Variation has a sharpness score of 91.5 (decisive), meaning 91.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit, Botvinnik Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit, Botvinnik Variation has a 48.8% (90% CI: 42.8%-54.8%) win rate for white, based on 186 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 7.2% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit, Botvinnik Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit, Botvinnik Variation has a 47.1% (90% CI: 42.0%-52.3%) win rate for white (252 Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.9%.

Is the Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit, Botvinnik Variation a good opening?

The Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit, Botvinnik Variation is slightly favors black with a 45.0% (90% CI: 40.6%-49.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.