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Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit

29K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score57.7%Range (90% confident): 57.2% – 58.2%Based on 29K games
0%57.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 57.2% – 58.2%
Outcome Distribution
55.4%4.6%40.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.Nxe5
Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit
Analyzen=29K
Avg Length30 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.6%

What is the Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit has a 57.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 57.2% and 58.2%), based on 29K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +19.8% · Breakpoint: 2500+

Traps & Chaos

Complexity: 93.3 · Trap factor: +4.7 · n=29K

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 9.0% · Classical best · Bullet worst

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 52% → 45%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 52.0% win rate (2,315 games)
  • 1000-1199: 55.2% win rate (2,865 games)
  • 1200-1399: 56.1% win rate (3,540 games)
  • 1400-1599: 57.1% win rate (3,779 games)
  • 1600-1799: 57.1% win rate (3,568 games)
  • 1800-1999: 58.5% win rate (3,523 games)
  • 2000-2199: 58.6% win rate (3,583 games)
  • 2200-2499: 52.5% win rate (4,197 games)
  • 2500+: 44.8% win rate (1,659 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (63%), worst in UltraBullet (54%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 54.0% win rate (42 games)
  • Bullet: 54.2% win rate (9,559 games)
  • Blitz: 55.4% win rate (13,590 games)
  • Rapid: 57.0% win rate (5,535 games)
  • Classical: 63.2% win rate (303 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799—
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 48.3% expected score (533 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 56.6% expected score (1,013 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 54.6% expected score (760 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 56.2% expected score (789 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 56.9% expected score (1,219 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 57.6% expected score (822 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 46.7% expected score (28 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 38.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 57.4% expected score (1,177 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 57.1% expected score (1,423 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 57.7% expected score (894 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 62.4% expected score (35 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 73.8% expected score (9 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 56.8% expected score (1,049 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 58.5% expected score (1,715 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 61.2% expected score (937 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 62.1% expected score (69 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 57.1% expected score (997 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 59.6% expected score (1,700 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 57.9% expected score (800 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 75.5% expected score (71 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 58.5% expected score (992 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 60.7% expected score (1,786 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 64.2% expected score (670 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 65.5% expected score (73 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 60.1% expected score (1,192 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 61.3% expected score (1,965 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 63.7% expected score (404 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 68.6% expected score (20 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 57.7% expected score (1,645 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.4% expected score (2,310 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 58.6% expected score (233 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 49.0% expected score (1,185 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 51.0% expected score (459 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 65.2% expected score (15 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Four Knights Game
47.3%
Variations (5)
Four Knights Game: Glek System
47.9%
Four Knights Game: Gunsberg Variation
49.7%
Four Knights Game: Halloween Gambit
52.7%
Four Knights Game: Halloween Gambit, Plasma Variation
54.1%
Four Knights Game: Italian Variation
48.7%
Continuations (1)
Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit, Leonhardt Defense
44.9%
Analyze Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit win rate?

The Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit has a 55.4% (90% CI: 54.9%-55.9%) win rate for white, based on 29K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit perform best?

The Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 58.5% win rate for white (3.5K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (63.2%) outperforms Bullet (54.2%) by 9.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit?

The Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit has a sharpness score of 95.4 (very decisive), meaning 95.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.

What is the Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit has a 52.0% (90% CI: 50.3%-53.7%) win rate for white, based on 2.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit has a 55.2% (90% CI: 53.7%-56.8%) win rate for white, based on 2.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit has a 56.1% (90% CI: 54.7%-57.4%) win rate for white, based on 3.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit has a 57.1% (90% CI: 55.7%-58.4%) win rate for white, based on 3.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit has a 57.1% (90% CI: 55.7%-58.4%) win rate for white, based on 3.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit has a 58.5% (90% CI: 57.2%-59.9%) win rate for white, based on 3.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit has a 58.6% (90% CI: 57.2%-59.9%) win rate for white, based on 3.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit has a 52.5% (90% CI: 51.2%-53.8%) win rate for white, based on 4.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 6.8% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit has a 44.8% (90% CI: 42.8%-46.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 9.8% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit has a 54.2% (90% CI: 53.4%-55.1%) win rate for white (9.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.

What is the Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit has a 55.4% (90% CI: 54.7%-56.1%) win rate for white (14K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.

What is the Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit has a 57.0% (90% CI: 55.9%-58.1%) win rate for white (5.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

What is the Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit has a 63.2% (90% CI: 58.6%-67.7%) win rate for white (303 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

Is the Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit a good opening?

The Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation, Krause Gambit is statistically favors white with a 55.4% (90% CI: 54.9%-55.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.