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Analyzer

English Opening: Neo-Catalan

112K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score45.5%Range (90% confident): 45.3% – 45.8%Based on 112K games
0%45.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 45.3% – 45.8%
Outcome Distribution
42.2%6.5%51.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...Nf6
English Opening: Neo-Catalan
Analyzen=112K
Avg Length38 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate6.5%

What is the English Opening: Neo-Catalan expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the English Opening: Neo-Catalan has a 45.5% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 45.3% and 45.8%), based on 112K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 11.7% · UltraBullet best · Classical worst

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 45% → 39%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 45.1% win rate (441 games)
  • 1000-1199: 41.1% win rate (1,283 games)
  • 1200-1399: 44.4% win rate (2,831 games)
  • 1400-1599: 44.2% win rate (5,394 games)
  • 1600-1799: 44.3% win rate (10,433 games)
  • 1800-1999: 43.8% win rate (18,976 games)
  • 2000-2199: 42.7% win rate (28,600 games)
  • 2200-2499: 40.7% win rate (33,811 games)
  • 2500+: 39.2% win rate (10,361 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (43%), worst in UltraBullet (37%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 37.1% win rate (210 games)
  • Bullet: 42.9% win rate (35,950 games)
  • Blitz: 42.1% win rate (64,025 games)
  • Rapid: 41.3% win rate (11,220 games)
  • Classical: 39.4% win rate (725 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 55.7% expected score (122 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 42.1% expected score (251 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 44.7% expected score (64 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 45.2% expected score (308 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 41.6% expected score (757 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 44.0% expected score (214 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 46.5% expected score (836 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 45.6% expected score (1,535 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 46.7% expected score (437 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 37.9% expected score (15 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 39.7% expected score (13 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 45.8% expected score (1,456 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 46.8% expected score (2,964 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 45.0% expected score (910 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 37.6% expected score (51 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 39.7% expected score (42 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 46.4% expected score (2,796 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 46.3% expected score (5,859 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 47.4% expected score (1,576 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 43.9% expected score (160 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 32.7% expected score (36 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 46.5% expected score (4,680 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 46.0% expected score (11,316 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 47.6% expected score (2,683 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 47.5% expected score (261 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 37.5% expected score (70 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 45.3% expected score (7,552 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 46.5% expected score (17,926 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 45.2% expected score (2,870 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 45.7% expected score (182 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 43.3% expected score (28 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 44.6% expected score (12,055 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 45.0% expected score (19,508 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 41.6% expected score (2,179 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 38.3% expected score (41 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 28.3% expected score (10 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 45.2% expected score (6,145 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 43.3% expected score (3,909 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 40.3% expected score (287 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 58.7% expected score (10 games)

Related Openings

Parent
English Opening
50.4%
Variations (5)
English Opening: King's English Variation
51.0%
English Opening: Agincourt Defense
50.2%
English Opening: Anglo-Scandinavian Defense
52.0%
English Opening: King's English Variation, Reversed Sicilian
52.2%
English Opening: Symmetrical Variation
50.5%
Analyze English Opening: Neo-Catalan PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the English Opening: Neo-Catalan win rate?

The English Opening: Neo-Catalan has a 51.2% (90% CI: 51.0%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 112K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the English Opening: Neo-Catalan perform best?

The English Opening: Neo-Catalan performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 55.4% win rate for white (1.3K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the English Opening: Neo-Catalan better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (61.2%) outperforms Classical (49.5%) by 11.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the English Opening: Neo-Catalan?

The English Opening: Neo-Catalan has a sharpness score of 93.5 (decisive), meaning 93.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 38 moves.

What is the English Opening: Neo-Catalan win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the English Opening: Neo-Catalan has a 52.5% (90% CI: 48.6%-56.4%) win rate for white, based on 441 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Neo-Catalan win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the English Opening: Neo-Catalan has a 55.4% (90% CI: 53.1%-57.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Neo-Catalan win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the English Opening: Neo-Catalan has a 52.4% (90% CI: 50.8%-53.9%) win rate for white, based on 2.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Neo-Catalan win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the English Opening: Neo-Catalan has a 51.9% (90% CI: 50.8%-53.0%) win rate for white, based on 5.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Neo-Catalan win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the English Opening: Neo-Catalan has a 51.4% (90% CI: 50.6%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 10K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Neo-Catalan win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the English Opening: Neo-Catalan has a 51.2% (90% CI: 50.6%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 19K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Neo-Catalan win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the English Opening: Neo-Catalan has a 50.7% (90% CI: 50.3%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 29K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.5% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Neo-Catalan win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the English Opening: Neo-Catalan has a 51.4% (90% CI: 51.0%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 34K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 7.8% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Neo-Catalan win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the English Opening: Neo-Catalan has a 50.5% (90% CI: 49.7%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 10K Lichess games. Average game length is 44 moves with a 10.3% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Neo-Catalan win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the English Opening: Neo-Catalan has a 61.2% (90% CI: 55.7%-66.7%) win rate for white (210 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.7%.

What is the English Opening: Neo-Catalan win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the English Opening: Neo-Catalan has a 52.1% (90% CI: 51.7%-52.6%) win rate for white (36K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.

What is the English Opening: Neo-Catalan win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the English Opening: Neo-Catalan has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.4%-51.1%) win rate for white (64K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.1%.

What is the English Opening: Neo-Catalan win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the English Opening: Neo-Catalan has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.0%-51.5%) win rate for white (11K Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.0%.

What is the English Opening: Neo-Catalan win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the English Opening: Neo-Catalan has a 49.5% (90% CI: 46.4%-52.5%) win rate for white (725 Lichess games). Draw rate is 11.1%.

Is the English Opening: Neo-Catalan a good opening?

The English Opening: Neo-Catalan is statistically favors white with a 51.2% (90% CI: 51.0%-51.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.