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English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubow Defense

24K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score45.3%Range (90% confident): 44.7% – 45.8%Based on 24K games
0%45.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 44.7% – 45.8%
Outcome Distribution
42.3%5.9%51.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
4...Bd6
English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubow Defense
Analyzen=24K
Avg Length38 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate5.9%

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubow Defense expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubow Defense has a 45.3% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 44.7% and 45.8%), based on 24K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 50% → 40%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 50.4% win rate (55 games)
  • 1000-1199: 43.7% win rate (130 games)
  • 1200-1399: 43.3% win rate (325 games)
  • 1400-1599: 41.0% win rate (727 games)
  • 1600-1799: 44.3% win rate (1,700 games)
  • 1800-1999: 43.5% win rate (4,086 games)
  • 2000-2199: 42.8% win rate (6,301 games)
  • 2200-2499: 41.7% win rate (7,777 games)
  • 2500+: 39.5% win rate (2,459 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (43%), worst in UltraBullet (37%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 36.9% win rate (73 games)
  • Bullet: 42.6% win rate (8,949 games)
  • Blitz: 42.2% win rate (12,730 games)
  • Rapid: 42.1% win rate (1,688 games)
  • Classical: 40.7% win rate (120 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (18 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 53.4% expected score (28 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 45.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 44.4% expected score (43 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 43.0% expected score (77 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (10 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 41.4% expected score (103 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 48.3% expected score (169 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 44.4% expected score (43 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 22.8% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (10 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 41.7% expected score (316 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 39.8% expected score (301 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.5% expected score (95 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 31.8% expected score (26 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 47.1% expected score (738 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 45.4% expected score (746 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 51.5% expected score (165 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 25.5% expected score (25 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 45.8% expected score (22 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 43.7% expected score (1,402 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 46.5% expected score (2,310 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.2% expected score (319 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 54.4% expected score (33 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 32.4% expected score (7 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 45.7% expected score (1,992 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 45.9% expected score (3,707 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 44.9% expected score (552 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 51.2% expected score (43 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 45.4% expected score (3,158 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 45.3% expected score (4,141 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 41.7% expected score (466 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 45.7% expected score (10 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 41.9% expected score (1,179 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 46.0% expected score (1,251 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 40.2% expected score (29 games)

Related Openings

Parent
English Opening
50.4%
Variations (5)
English Opening: King's English Variation
51.0%
English Opening: Agincourt Defense
50.2%
English Opening: Anglo-Scandinavian Defense
52.0%
English Opening: King's English Variation, Reversed Sicilian
52.2%
English Opening: Symmetrical Variation
50.5%
Analyze English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubow Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubow Defense win rate?

The English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubow Defense has a 51.8% (90% CI: 51.3%-52.4%) win rate for white, based on 24K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubow Defense perform best?

The English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubow Defense performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 56.5% win rate for white (727 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubow Defense better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (62.4%) outperforms Classical (50.6%) by 11.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubow Defense?

The English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubow Defense has a sharpness score of 94.1 (decisive), meaning 94.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 38 moves.

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubow Defense win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubow Defense has a 55.9% (90% CI: 48.7%-62.9%) win rate for white, based on 130 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 0.4% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubow Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubow Defense has a 53.8% (90% CI: 49.2%-58.3%) win rate for white, based on 325 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubow Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubow Defense has a 56.5% (90% CI: 53.5%-59.5%) win rate for white, based on 727 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubow Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubow Defense has a 52.0% (90% CI: 50.0%-54.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubow Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubow Defense has a 51.8% (90% CI: 50.5%-53.1%) win rate for white, based on 4.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubow Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubow Defense has a 51.4% (90% CI: 50.3%-52.4%) win rate for white, based on 6.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.8% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubow Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubow Defense has a 51.6% (90% CI: 50.7%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 7.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.7% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubow Defense win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubow Defense has a 51.6% (90% CI: 49.9%-53.3%) win rate for white, based on 2.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 8.9% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubow Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubow Defense has a 53.3% (90% CI: 52.5%-54.2%) win rate for white (8.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubow Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubow Defense has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.2%-51.6%) win rate for white (13K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.9%.

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubow Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubow Defense has a 50.4% (90% CI: 48.4%-52.4%) win rate for white (1.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.5%.

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubow Defense win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubow Defense has a 50.6% (90% CI: 43.2%-58.0%) win rate for white (120 Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.6%.

Is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubow Defense a good opening?

The English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubow Defense is statistically favors white with a 51.8% (90% CI: 51.3%-52.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.