TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit

708K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Play This
White Expected Score52.5%Range (90% confident): 52.4% – 52.6%Based on 708K games
0%52.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.4% – 52.6%
Outcome Distribution
51.1%2.8%46.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.f4
Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit
Analyzen=708K
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate2.8%

What is the Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit has a 52.5% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.4% and 52.6%), based on 708K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +6.0% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 8.3% · UltraBullet best · Classical worst

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~49%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 48.9% win rate (14,032 games)
  • 1000-1199: 51.6% win rate (33,276 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.7% win rate (74,343 games)
  • 1400-1599: 52.0% win rate (144,914 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.3% win rate (212,036 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.6% win rate (160,869 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.7% win rate (56,983 games)
  • 2200-2499: 47.4% win rate (10,756 games)
  • 2500+: 47.3% win rate (408 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (58%), worst in Classical (49%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 57.6% win rate (1,136 games)
  • Bullet: 52.3% win rate (150,889 games)
  • Blitz: 50.8% win rate (396,919 games)
  • Rapid: 50.7% win rate (152,909 games)
  • Classical: 49.3% win rate (5,764 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 51.8% expected score (82 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (6,335 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (5,609 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 47.6% expected score (1,983 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 35.7% expected score (23 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 45.2% expected score (124 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 54.8% expected score (8,896 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 52.3% expected score (18,963 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 51.3% expected score (5,241 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 52.8% expected score (52 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 51.6% expected score (123 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (15,664 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 53.2% expected score (43,874 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 52.0% expected score (14,438 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 48.2% expected score (244 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 61.1% expected score (274 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 54.1% expected score (21,764 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.2% expected score (92,724 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 52.6% expected score (29,161 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 49.9% expected score (991 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 62.6% expected score (461 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 54.2% expected score (39,238 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.1% expected score (118,027 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.0% expected score (52,121 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.8% expected score (2,189 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 58.9% expected score (66 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.1% expected score (34,308 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.9% expected score (86,250 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 52.3% expected score (38,226 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 53.4% expected score (2,019 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (17,791 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (27,819 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 51.9% expected score (11,126 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 52.3% expected score (242 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.1% expected score (6,510 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 48.2% expected score (3,630 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 55.2% expected score (611 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 59.1% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (383 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 68.4% expected score (23 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Center Game
53.6%
Variations (5)
Center Game: Berger Variation
50.7%
Center Game: Charousek Variation
46.8%
Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit, Crocodile Variation
47.6%
Center Game: Hall Variation
48.4%
Center Game: Kieseritzky Variation
54.5%
Continuations (1)
Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit, Crocodile Variation
47.6%
Analyze Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit win rate?

The Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit has a 51.1% (90% CI: 51.0%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 708K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit perform best?

The Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 52.0% win rate for white (145K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (57.6%) outperforms Classical (49.3%) by 8.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit?

The Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit has a sharpness score of 97.2 (very decisive), meaning 97.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit has a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.2%-49.6%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit has a 51.6% (90% CI: 51.2%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 33K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit has a 51.7% (90% CI: 51.4%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 74K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit has a 52.0% (90% CI: 51.8%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 145K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit has a 51.3% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 212K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit has a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.4%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 161K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.3%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 57K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit has a 47.4% (90% CI: 46.6%-48.2%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit has a 47.3% (90% CI: 43.2%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 408 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit has a 57.6% (90% CI: 55.2%-60.0%) win rate for white (1.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.8%.

What is the Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit has a 52.3% (90% CI: 52.1%-52.5%) win rate for white (151K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.8%.

What is the Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.7%-50.9%) win rate for white (397K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.

What is the Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit has a 50.7% (90% CI: 50.5%-50.9%) win rate for white (153K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.5%.

What is the Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit has a 49.3% (90% CI: 48.2%-50.4%) win rate for white (5.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.

Is the Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit a good opening?

The Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit is statistically favors white with a 51.1% (90% CI: 51.0%-51.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.