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Catalan Opening: Closed

835K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score54.5%Range (90% confident): 54.4% – 54.6%Based on 835K games
0%54.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 54.4% – 54.6%
Outcome Distribution
51.4%6.1%42.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
10.e4
Catalan Opening: Closed
Analyzen=835K
Avg Length38 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate6.1%

What is the Catalan Opening: Closed expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Catalan Opening: Closed has a 54.5% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 54.4% and 54.6%), based on 835K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~52%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 52.4% win rate (1,772 games)
  • 1000-1199: 51.7% win rate (7,274 games)
  • 1200-1399: 52.9% win rate (21,200 games)
  • 1400-1599: 52.3% win rate (51,668 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.2% win rate (105,371 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.8% win rate (179,195 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.9% win rate (219,123 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.9% win rate (196,562 games)
  • 2500+: 52.0% win rate (52,376 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (53%), worst in Classical (48%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 52.6% win rate (1,584 games)
  • Bullet: 52.1% win rate (295,830 games)
  • Blitz: 51.0% win rate (447,360 games)
  • Rapid: 50.8% win rate (85,012 games)
  • Classical: 48.4% win rate (4,755 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 54.4% expected score (634 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 54.1% expected score (868 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.4% expected score (265 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 47.0% expected score (15 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (2,889 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 53.1% expected score (3,339 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 53.1% expected score (1,011 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 57.0% expected score (20 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 58.4% expected score (58 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 54.5% expected score (8,618 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 54.4% expected score (9,787 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 55.2% expected score (2,653 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 47.1% expected score (84 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 46.3% expected score (226 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 54.1% expected score (18,848 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 54.0% expected score (25,696 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 55.3% expected score (6,566 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 55.0% expected score (332 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 57.5% expected score (705 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (34,997 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.2% expected score (56,256 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.7% expected score (12,516 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 51.1% expected score (897 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 54.3% expected score (337 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (49,874 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (104,786 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.4% expected score (22,491 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 52.9% expected score (1,707 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 52.2% expected score (159 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.9% expected score (65,537 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 54.1% expected score (127,896 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 54.6% expected score (24,203 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 56.8% expected score (1,328 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 44.1% expected score (74 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.9% expected score (81,331 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.8% expected score (100,867 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 57.5% expected score (13,983 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 61.8% expected score (307 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 76.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 57.4% expected score (33,102 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 58.2% expected score (17,865 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 57.8% expected score (1,324 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 54.4% expected score (79 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Catalan Opening
50.9%
Variations (5)
Catalan Opening: Closed Variation, Rabinovich Variation
49.6%
Catalan Opening: Closed Variation, Traditional Variation
52.1%
Catalan Opening: Closed, Botvinnik Variation
55.1%
Catalan Opening: Closed, Main Line
56.3%
Catalan Opening: Closed, Sokolsky Variation
52.1%
Continuations (4)
Catalan Opening: Closed, Botvinnik Variation
55.1%
Catalan Opening: Closed, Main Line
56.3%
Catalan Opening: Closed, Sokolsky Variation
52.1%
Catalan Opening: Closed, Zagoryansky Variation
52.8%
Analyze Catalan Opening: Closed PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Catalan Opening: Closed win rate?

The Catalan Opening: Closed has a 51.4% (90% CI: 51.3%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 835K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Catalan Opening: Closed perform best?

The Catalan Opening: Closed performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 52.9% win rate for white (21K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Catalan Opening: Closed better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (52.1%) outperforms Classical (48.4%) by 3.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Catalan Opening: Closed?

The Catalan Opening: Closed has a sharpness score of 93.9 (decisive), meaning 93.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 38 moves.

What is the Catalan Opening: Closed win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Catalan Opening: Closed has a 52.4% (90% CI: 50.5%-54.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Catalan Opening: Closed win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Catalan Opening: Closed has a 51.7% (90% CI: 50.8%-52.7%) win rate for white, based on 7.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Catalan Opening: Closed win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Catalan Opening: Closed has a 52.9% (90% CI: 52.3%-53.5%) win rate for white, based on 21K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Catalan Opening: Closed win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Catalan Opening: Closed has a 52.3% (90% CI: 52.0%-52.7%) win rate for white, based on 52K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Catalan Opening: Closed win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Catalan Opening: Closed has a 51.2% (90% CI: 50.9%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 105K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Catalan Opening: Closed win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Catalan Opening: Closed has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.6%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 179K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the Catalan Opening: Closed win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Catalan Opening: Closed has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.8%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 219K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.3% draw rate.

What is the Catalan Opening: Closed win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Catalan Opening: Closed has a 51.9% (90% CI: 51.8%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 197K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 7.2% draw rate.

What is the Catalan Opening: Closed win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Catalan Opening: Closed has a 52.0% (90% CI: 51.6%-52.3%) win rate for white, based on 52K Lichess games. Average game length is 44 moves with a 11.3% draw rate.

What is the Catalan Opening: Closed win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Catalan Opening: Closed has a 52.6% (90% CI: 50.5%-54.6%) win rate for white (1.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.

What is the Catalan Opening: Closed win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Catalan Opening: Closed has a 52.1% (90% CI: 52.0%-52.3%) win rate for white (296K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

What is the Catalan Opening: Closed win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Catalan Opening: Closed has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.9%-51.2%) win rate for white (447K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.7%.

What is the Catalan Opening: Closed win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Catalan Opening: Closed has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.5%-51.0%) win rate for white (85K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.9%.

What is the Catalan Opening: Closed win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Catalan Opening: Closed has a 48.4% (90% CI: 47.2%-49.6%) win rate for white (4.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 11.8%.

Is the Catalan Opening: Closed a good opening?

The Catalan Opening: Closed is statistically favors white with a 51.4% (90% CI: 51.3%-51.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.