TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Benoni Defense: Cormorant Gambit

60K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score46.5%Range (90% confident): 46.1% – 46.8%Based on 60K games
0%46.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 46.1% – 46.8%
Outcome Distribution
44.6%3.6%51.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
2...b6
Benoni Defense: Cormorant Gambit
Analyzen=60K
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.6%

What is the Benoni Defense: Cormorant Gambit expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Benoni Defense: Cormorant Gambit has a 46.5% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 46.1% and 46.8%), based on 60K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: -6.0% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 9.2% · Classical best · UltraBullet worst

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 41% → 35%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 41.2% win rate (7,509 games)
  • 1000-1199: 44.6% win rate (9,429 games)
  • 1200-1399: 45.2% win rate (11,667 games)
  • 1400-1599: 45.9% win rate (12,165 games)
  • 1600-1799: 45.8% win rate (9,994 games)
  • 1800-1999: 44.0% win rate (5,646 games)
  • 2000-2199: 43.6% win rate (2,249 games)
  • 2200-2499: 43.1% win rate (795 games)
  • 2500+: 35.4% win rate (130 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (48%), worst in Classical (39%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 48.1% win rate (120 games)
  • Bullet: 48.3% win rate (17,904 games)
  • Blitz: 43.5% win rate (30,766 games)
  • Rapid: 41.6% win rate (10,420 games)
  • Classical: 38.5% win rate (374 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 18.5% expected score (8 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (2,130 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 43.8% expected score (3,766 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 39.5% expected score (1,580 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 27.4% expected score (25 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 57.5% expected score (12 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (2,554 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 45.5% expected score (5,078 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 43.4% expected score (1,751 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 41.6% expected score (34 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 36.2% expected score (13 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (2,917 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 46.3% expected score (6,458 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 44.1% expected score (2,180 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 41.1% expected score (99 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 48.0% expected score (23 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.9% expected score (3,297 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 45.9% expected score (6,325 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 46.0% expected score (2,381 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 42.9% expected score (139 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 47.3% expected score (17 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (2,865 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 46.4% expected score (5,448 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 46.8% expected score (1,607 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 39.8% expected score (57 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 44.9% expected score (18 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.9% expected score (2,122 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 44.6% expected score (2,753 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 43.5% expected score (737 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 32.9% expected score (16 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 62.9% expected score (18 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 47.2% expected score (1,285 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 43.2% expected score (771 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 41.1% expected score (171 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 69.1% expected score (9 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 45.4% expected score (610 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 43.3% expected score (163 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 39.7% expected score (13 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 36.9% expected score (124 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (4 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Benoni Defense
47.5%
Variations (5)
Benoni Defense: Old Benoni
48.4%
Benoni Defense: Benoni Gambit Accepted
47.4%
Benoni Defense: French Benoni
50.8%
Benoni Defense: King's Pawn Line
50.7%
Benoni Defense: Hromádka System
49.2%
Analyze Benoni Defense: Cormorant Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Benoni Defense: Cormorant Gambit win rate?

The Benoni Defense: Cormorant Gambit has a 51.7% (90% CI: 51.4%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 60K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Benoni Defense: Cormorant Gambit perform best?

The Benoni Defense: Cormorant Gambit performs best at 0-999 Elo with a 53.1% win rate for white (7.5K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Benoni Defense: Cormorant Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (58.2%) outperforms UltraBullet (49.0%) by 9.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Benoni Defense: Cormorant Gambit?

The Benoni Defense: Cormorant Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.4 (very decisive), meaning 96.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the Benoni Defense: Cormorant Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Benoni Defense: Cormorant Gambit has a 53.1% (90% CI: 52.2%-54.1%) win rate for white, based on 7.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.

What is the Benoni Defense: Cormorant Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Benoni Defense: Cormorant Gambit has a 52.3% (90% CI: 51.4%-53.1%) win rate for white, based on 9.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Benoni Defense: Cormorant Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Benoni Defense: Cormorant Gambit has a 51.5% (90% CI: 50.7%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 12K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Benoni Defense: Cormorant Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Benoni Defense: Cormorant Gambit has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.2%-51.7%) win rate for white, based on 12K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Benoni Defense: Cormorant Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Benoni Defense: Cormorant Gambit has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.1%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 10.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Benoni Defense: Cormorant Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Benoni Defense: Cormorant Gambit has a 52.0% (90% CI: 50.9%-53.1%) win rate for white, based on 5.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Benoni Defense: Cormorant Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Benoni Defense: Cormorant Gambit has a 52.7% (90% CI: 50.9%-54.4%) win rate for white, based on 2.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Benoni Defense: Cormorant Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Benoni Defense: Cormorant Gambit has a 52.9% (90% CI: 50.0%-55.8%) win rate for white, based on 795 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Benoni Defense: Cormorant Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Benoni Defense: Cormorant Gambit has a 58.9% (90% CI: 51.8%-65.9%) win rate for white, based on 130 Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.

What is the Benoni Defense: Cormorant Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Benoni Defense: Cormorant Gambit has a 49.0% (90% CI: 41.5%-56.4%) win rate for white (120 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.

What is the Benoni Defense: Cormorant Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Benoni Defense: Cormorant Gambit has a 49.3% (90% CI: 48.6%-49.9%) win rate for white (18K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.4%.

What is the Benoni Defense: Cormorant Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Benoni Defense: Cormorant Gambit has a 52.5% (90% CI: 52.0%-53.0%) win rate for white (31K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

What is the Benoni Defense: Cormorant Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Benoni Defense: Cormorant Gambit has a 53.7% (90% CI: 52.8%-54.5%) win rate for white (10K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

What is the Benoni Defense: Cormorant Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Benoni Defense: Cormorant Gambit has a 58.2% (90% CI: 54.0%-62.3%) win rate for white (374 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.3%.

Is the Benoni Defense: Cormorant Gambit a good opening?

The Benoni Defense: Cormorant Gambit is statistically favors white with a 51.7% (90% CI: 51.4%-52.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 0-999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.