What is the Ware Defense expected score for Black?
Overall, the Ware Defense family has a 44.7% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 44.6% and 44.8%), aggregated from 2 variations and 1.4M Lichess games.
2 variations · 1.4M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
Ware Defense leaves Black at 44.7% — consider alternatives.
The minimum advantage of -10.8% suggests this opening underperforms statistically at your level.
Player-controlled continuations for Black · Overall
Continuations show the most common variations from this opening. Higher expected scores indicate better statistical outcomes, but familiarity and playstyle matter too.
Overall, the Ware Defense family has a 44.7% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 44.6% and 44.8%), aggregated from 2 variations and 1.4M Lichess games.
Improves with rating: 38% → 45%
Best in UltraBullet (45%), worst in Classical (33%)
Click cells to filter · Black expected scores
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
Matrix view reveals how performance varies across rating brackets and time controls. Green indicates favorable, red indicates challenging contexts.
The Ware Defense family has a 53.4% (90% CI: 53.4%-53.5%) win rate for white, aggregated from 2 variations and 1.4M rated games from Lichess.
This analysis covers 2 Ware Defense variations with sufficient game data. Each variation has its own statistics page with detailed win rates by rating and time control.
The Ware Defense family performs best at 0-999 Elo with a 56.9% win rate for white (193K games). Performance may vary by specific variation.
Classical (62.2%) outperforms Bullet (52.4%) by 9.8% across all Ware Defense variations.
Ware Defense games are 96.2% decisive (non-draws), with an average length of 32 moves. Sharpness varies by specific variation.
The Ware Defense family is statistically favors white overall with a 53.4% (90% CI: 53.4%-53.5%) aggregated win rate. However, win rates vary significantly between the 2 variations—explore individual lines to find the best fit for your style.