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Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Meitner-Mieses Gambit

267K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Analyze this line move by move

White expected score · All ratings · All speeds

70.0%

45%75%
Floor69.9%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 70.2%.

Measured over 267K games at this level and clock.

Play Thiswins clearly more often than it loses at this level

A strong choice for White at this level and clock.

Outcomes for White

Draw 2.0 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 267K games

Rank among the families White can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
267K
Best context
73.2% at 1400-1599 Bullet
Worst context
62.6% at 2500+ Bullet
Average game length
23 moves
Games that end decisively
98.0%
Draws
2.0%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Where it holds · White score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 55.0% at 0-999, 58.4% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 69.7% expected score (907 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 64.8% expected score (515 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 63.8% expected score (107 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 70.9% expected score (4,331 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 67.7% expected score (3,829 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 65.1% expected score (608 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 71.9% expected score (10,579 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 68.8% expected score (15,874 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 63.3% expected score (2,894 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 64.6% expected score (43 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 46.7% expected score (28 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 73.2% expected score (16,400 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 70.2% expected score (36,707 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 65.7% expected score (9,680 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 71.4% expected score (174 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 67.4% expected score (10 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 71.9% expected score (17,095 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 70.5% expected score (45,006 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 67.6% expected score (15,941 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 68.2% expected score (471 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 70.7% expected score (14,347 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 70.9% expected score (29,925 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 68.7% expected score (12,527 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 71.4% expected score (401 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 68.7% expected score (8,487 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 70.7% expected score (9,819 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 71.5% expected score (3,480 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 71.8% expected score (102 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 66.5% expected score (3,904 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 69.7% expected score (1,905 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 73.0% expected score (451 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 86.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 62.6% expected score (815 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 73.7% expected score (85 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 38.9% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Analyze Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Meitner-Mieses Gambit PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Meitner-Mieses Gambit scores 70.0% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 69.9% and 70.2% — from 267K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
267K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Meitner-Mieses Gambit win rate?

Playing the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Meitner-Mieses Gambit, White wins 69.0%, draws 2.0% and loses 29.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 70.0%. It rests on 267K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Meitner-Mieses Gambit perform best?

The Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Meitner-Mieses Gambit performs best for White at 1800-1999, with an Expected Score of 70.3% (57K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Meitner-Mieses Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

For White, the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Meitner-Mieses Gambit scores higher in Blitz: an Expected Score of 70.2% in Blitz (144K games) against 67.5% in Rapid (46K games).

How sharp is the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Meitner-Mieses Gambit?

The Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Meitner-Mieses Gambit has a sharpness score of 98.0 (very decisive), meaning 98.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 23 moves.

What is the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Meitner-Mieses Gambit win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, White wins 67.0%, draws 1.2% and loses 31.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 67.6%. It rests on 1.5K Lichess games, which average 17 moves.

What is the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Meitner-Mieses Gambit win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, White wins 68.4%, draws 1.4% and loses 30.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 69.1%. It rests on 8.8K Lichess games, which average 18 moves.

What is the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Meitner-Mieses Gambit win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, White wins 68.6%, draws 1.5% and loses 29.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 69.4%. It rests on 29K Lichess games, which average 20 moves.

What is the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Meitner-Mieses Gambit win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, White wins 69.3%, draws 1.8% and loses 28.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 70.2%. It rests on 63K Lichess games, which average 22 moves.

What is the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Meitner-Mieses Gambit win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, White wins 69.2%, draws 2.0% and loses 28.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 70.2%. It rests on 79K Lichess games, which average 23 moves.

What is the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Meitner-Mieses Gambit win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, White wins 69.2%, draws 2.2% and loses 28.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 70.3%. It rests on 57K Lichess games, which average 24 moves.

What is the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Meitner-Mieses Gambit win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, White wins 68.8%, draws 2.5% and loses 28.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 70.1%. It rests on 22K Lichess games, which average 26 moves.

What is the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Meitner-Mieses Gambit win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, White wins 66.4%, draws 3.0% and loses 30.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 68.0%. It rests on 6.3K Lichess games, which average 27 moves.

What is the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Meitner-Mieses Gambit win rate at 2500+?

At 2500+, White wins 62.4%, draws 2.4% and loses 35.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 63.6%. It rests on 903 Lichess games, which average 28 moves.

What is the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Meitner-Mieses Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, White wins 70.2%, draws 1.8% and loses 28.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 71.1%. It rests on 77K Lichess games.

What is the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Meitner-Mieses Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, White wins 69.2%, draws 2.0% and loses 28.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 70.2%. It rests on 144K Lichess games.

What is the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Meitner-Mieses Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, White wins 66.4%, draws 2.3% and loses 31.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 67.5%. It rests on 46K Lichess games.

What is the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Meitner-Mieses Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical, White wins 68.9%, draws 2.7% and loses 28.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 70.3%. It rests on 1.2K Lichess games.

Is the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Meitner-Mieses Gambit a good opening?

The Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Meitner-Mieses Gambit is good for White. Across all ratings, White wins 69.0% of its games and loses 29.0%. It performs best at 1800-1999. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.