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Van Geet Opening: Tübingen Gambit

12K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score52.7%Range (90% confident): 52.0% – 53.5%Based on 12K games
0%52.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.0% – 53.5%
Outcome Distribution
50.7%4.0%45.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
2.g4
Van Geet Opening: Tübingen Gambit
Analyzen=12K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.0%

What is the Van Geet Opening: Tübingen Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Van Geet Opening: Tübingen Gambit has a 52.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.0% and 53.5%), based on 12K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +5.9% · Breakpoint: 0-999

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 36% → 50%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 35.5% win rate (225 games)
  • 1000-1199: 34.1% win rate (88 games)
  • 1200-1399: 41.4% win rate (147 games)
  • 1400-1599: 46.8% win rate (403 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.0% win rate (868 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.5% win rate (2,313 games)
  • 2000-2199: 52.3% win rate (4,541 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.6% win rate (3,487 games)
  • 2500+: 50.3% win rate (260 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (56%), worst in UltraBullet (48%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 48.1% win rate (39 games)
  • Bullet: 51.0% win rate (4,814 games)
  • Blitz: 50.7% win rate (6,884 games)
  • Rapid: 48.2% win rate (574 games)
  • Classical: 55.6% win rate (21 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199——
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 37.4% expected score (42 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 40.5% expected score (98 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 39.5% expected score (84 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 41.1% expected score (32 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 38.3% expected score (41 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 31.9% expected score (15 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.0% expected score (93 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 32.7% expected score (36 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 46.8% expected score (14 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (161 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (214 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 40.3% expected score (19 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 8.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 56.1% expected score (122 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.7% expected score (672 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.8% expected score (64 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 72.3% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 55.1% expected score (18 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (476 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.1% expected score (1,609 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.3% expected score (201 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 54.8% expected score (9 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 56.0% expected score (1,316 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.4% expected score (3,126 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 56.2% expected score (96 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 90.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (2,356 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 57.8% expected score (1,051 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 67.2% expected score (74 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 51.2% expected score (216 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 61.7% expected score (37 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 55.9% expected score (7 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Van Geet Opening
49.5%
Variations (5)
Van Geet Opening: Battambang Variation
48.5%
Van Geet Opening: Berlin Gambit
52.3%
Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit
50.6%
Van Geet Opening: Caro-Kann Variation, St. Patrick's Attack
48.4%
Van Geet Opening: Damhaug Gambit
47.7%
Analyze Van Geet Opening: Tübingen Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Van Geet Opening: Tübingen Gambit win rate?

The Van Geet Opening: Tübingen Gambit has a 50.7% (90% CI: 50.0%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 12K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Van Geet Opening: Tübingen Gambit perform best?

The Van Geet Opening: Tübingen Gambit performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 52.3% win rate for white (4.5K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Van Geet Opening: Tübingen Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (51.0%) outperforms Rapid (48.2%) by 2.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Van Geet Opening: Tübingen Gambit?

The Van Geet Opening: Tübingen Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.0 (very decisive), meaning 96.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Tübingen Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Van Geet Opening: Tübingen Gambit has a 35.5% (90% CI: 30.4%-40.8%) win rate for white, based on 225 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 8.2% draw rate.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Tübingen Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Van Geet Opening: Tübingen Gambit has a 41.4% (90% CI: 34.9%-48.1%) win rate for white, based on 147 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Tübingen Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Van Geet Opening: Tübingen Gambit has a 46.8% (90% CI: 42.8%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 403 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Tübingen Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Van Geet Opening: Tübingen Gambit has a 48.0% (90% CI: 45.2%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 868 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Tübingen Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Van Geet Opening: Tübingen Gambit has a 50.5% (90% CI: 48.8%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 2.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Tübingen Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Van Geet Opening: Tübingen Gambit has a 52.3% (90% CI: 51.1%-53.6%) win rate for white, based on 4.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Tübingen Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Van Geet Opening: Tübingen Gambit has a 51.6% (90% CI: 50.2%-53.0%) win rate for white, based on 3.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Tübingen Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Van Geet Opening: Tübingen Gambit has a 50.3% (90% CI: 45.2%-55.4%) win rate for white, based on 260 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Tübingen Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Van Geet Opening: Tübingen Gambit has a 51.0% (90% CI: 49.8%-52.2%) win rate for white (4.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.8%.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Tübingen Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Van Geet Opening: Tübingen Gambit has a 50.7% (90% CI: 49.7%-51.7%) win rate for white (6.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.6%.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Tübingen Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Van Geet Opening: Tübingen Gambit has a 48.2% (90% CI: 44.8%-51.6%) win rate for white (574 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.3%.

Is the Van Geet Opening: Tübingen Gambit a good opening?

The Van Geet Opening: Tübingen Gambit is statistically balanced with a 50.7% (90% CI: 50.0%-51.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.