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Van Geet Opening: Tübingen Gambit

12K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Analyze this line move by move

White expected score · All ratings · All speeds

52.7%

45%60%
Floor52.0%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 53.5%.

Measured over 12K games at this level and clock.

Playablewins about as often as it loses at this level

A strong choice for White at this level and clock.

Outcomes for White

Draw 4.0 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 12K games

Rank among the families White can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
12K
Best context
57.8% at 2200-2499 Blitz
Worst context
48.7% at 1600-1799 Blitz
Average game length
34 moves
Games that end decisively
96.0%
Draws
4.0%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +5.9% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Where it holds · White score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 46.9% at 0-999, 56.3% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199——
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 37.4% expected score (42 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 40.5% expected score (98 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 39.5% expected score (84 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 41.1% expected score (32 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 38.3% expected score (41 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 31.9% expected score (15 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.0% expected score (93 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 32.7% expected score (36 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 46.8% expected score (14 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (161 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (214 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 40.3% expected score (19 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 8.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 56.1% expected score (122 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.7% expected score (672 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.8% expected score (64 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 72.3% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 55.1% expected score (18 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (476 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.1% expected score (1,609 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.3% expected score (201 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 54.8% expected score (9 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 56.0% expected score (1,316 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.4% expected score (3,126 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 56.2% expected score (96 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 90.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (2,356 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 57.8% expected score (1,051 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 67.2% expected score (74 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 51.2% expected score (216 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 61.7% expected score (37 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 55.9% expected score (7 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Van Geet Opening
49.5%
Variations (5)
Van Geet Opening: Reversed Nimzowitsch
48.6%
Van Geet Opening: Dunst-Perrenet Gambit
52.1%
Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense
48.1%
Van Geet Opening: Napoleon Attack
51.9%
Van Geet Opening: Sicilian Two Knights
47.4%
Analyze Van Geet Opening: Tübingen Gambit PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Van Geet Opening: Tübingen Gambit scores 52.7% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 52.0% and 53.5% — from 12K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
12K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Van Geet Opening: Tübingen Gambit win rate?

Playing the Van Geet Opening: Tübingen Gambit, White wins 50.7%, draws 4.0% and loses 45.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.7%. It rests on 12K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Van Geet Opening: Tübingen Gambit perform best?

The Van Geet Opening: Tübingen Gambit performs best for White at 2000-2199, with an Expected Score of 54.2% (4.5K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the Van Geet Opening: Tübingen Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

For White, the Van Geet Opening: Tübingen Gambit scores higher in Blitz: an Expected Score of 53.0% in Blitz (6.9K games) against 51.4% in Rapid (574 games).

How sharp is the Van Geet Opening: Tübingen Gambit?

The Van Geet Opening: Tübingen Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.0 (very decisive), meaning 96.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Tübingen Gambit win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, White wins 35.5%, draws 8.2% and loses 56.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 39.6%. It rests on 225 Lichess games, which average 27 moves.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Tübingen Gambit win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, White wins 41.4%, draws 3.7% and loses 54.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 43.3%. It rests on 147 Lichess games, which average 29 moves.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Tübingen Gambit win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, White wins 46.8%, draws 3.8% and loses 49.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.8%. It rests on 403 Lichess games, which average 29 moves.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Tübingen Gambit win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, White wins 48.0%, draws 3.6% and loses 48.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.8%. It rests on 868 Lichess games, which average 32 moves.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Tübingen Gambit win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, White wins 50.5%, draws 4.0% and loses 45.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.6%. It rests on 2.3K Lichess games, which average 33 moves.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Tübingen Gambit win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, White wins 52.3%, draws 3.7% and loses 44.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.2%. It rests on 4.5K Lichess games, which average 34 moves.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Tübingen Gambit win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, White wins 51.6%, draws 4.0% and loses 44.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.7%. It rests on 3.5K Lichess games, which average 36 moves.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Tübingen Gambit win rate at 2500+?

At 2500+, White wins 50.3%, draws 5.2% and loses 44.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.9%. It rests on 260 Lichess games, which average 37 moves.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Tübingen Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, White wins 51.0%, draws 2.8% and loses 46.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.5%. It rests on 4.8K Lichess games.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Tübingen Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, White wins 50.7%, draws 4.6% and loses 44.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.0%. It rests on 6.9K Lichess games.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Tübingen Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, White wins 48.2%, draws 6.3% and loses 45.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.4%. It rests on 574 Lichess games.

Is the Van Geet Opening: Tübingen Gambit a good opening?

The Van Geet Opening: Tübingen Gambit is about level. Across all ratings, White wins 50.7% of its games and loses 45.3%. It performs best at 2000-2199. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.