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Van Geet Opening: Napoleon Attack

263K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score54.2%Range (90% confident): 54.0% – 54.3%Based on 263K games
0%54.2%100%
Range (90% confident): 54.0% – 54.3%
Outcome Distribution
51.9%4.5%43.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.d4
Van Geet Opening: Napoleon Attack
Analyzen=263K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.5%

What is the Van Geet Opening: Napoleon Attack expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Van Geet Opening: Napoleon Attack has a 54.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 54.0% and 54.3%), based on 263K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 48% → 53%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 48.3% win rate (43,955 games)
  • 1000-1199: 51.0% win rate (37,046 games)
  • 1200-1399: 52.5% win rate (45,333 games)
  • 1400-1599: 51.8% win rate (38,206 games)
  • 1600-1799: 53.3% win rate (33,874 games)
  • 1800-1999: 53.4% win rate (28,213 games)
  • 2000-2199: 53.9% win rate (22,284 games)
  • 2200-2499: 54.0% win rate (12,580 games)
  • 2500+: 53.2% win rate (1,936 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Similar across time controls (~52%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 51.8% win rate (1,794 games)
  • Bullet: 51.8% win rate (70,439 games)
  • Blitz: 52.2% win rate (124,674 games)
  • Rapid: 51.4% win rate (64,131 games)
  • Classical: 50.8% win rate (2,389 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 54.8% expected score (51 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 49.7% expected score (9,494 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 51.5% expected score (21,513 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.3% expected score (12,794 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 38.0% expected score (103 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 42.9% expected score (154 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (9,582 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 53.7% expected score (16,599 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 52.8% expected score (10,461 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.2% expected score (250 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 53.9% expected score (230 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (10,274 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 54.7% expected score (19,535 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 55.1% expected score (14,945 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 55.4% expected score (349 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 55.1% expected score (450 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 54.7% expected score (8,771 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 54.0% expected score (18,159 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 53.4% expected score (9,975 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 51.6% expected score (851 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 54.4% expected score (321 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 54.1% expected score (7,971 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 55.9% expected score (16,932 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 56.5% expected score (8,128 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 54.5% expected score (522 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 51.3% expected score (364 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 54.2% expected score (7,468 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 56.0% expected score (15,356 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 57.6% expected score (4,785 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 60.6% expected score (240 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 55.3% expected score (158 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 54.3% expected score (7,908 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 57.4% expected score (11,817 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 58.3% expected score (2,345 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (56 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 44.4% expected score (60 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 55.2% expected score (7,367 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 59.5% expected score (4,482 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 61.4% expected score (653 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 73.1% expected score (18 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 56.2% expected score (1,604 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 59.4% expected score (281 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 74.8% expected score (45 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Van Geet Opening
49.5%
Variations (5)
Van Geet Opening: Battambang Variation
48.5%
Van Geet Opening: Berlin Gambit
52.3%
Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit
50.6%
Van Geet Opening: Caro-Kann Variation, St. Patrick's Attack
48.4%
Van Geet Opening: Damhaug Gambit
47.7%
Analyze Van Geet Opening: Napoleon Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Van Geet Opening: Napoleon Attack win rate?

The Van Geet Opening: Napoleon Attack has a 51.9% (90% CI: 51.7%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 263K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Van Geet Opening: Napoleon Attack perform best?

The Van Geet Opening: Napoleon Attack performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 53.9% win rate for white (22K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Van Geet Opening: Napoleon Attack better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (52.2%) outperforms Classical (50.8%) by 1.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Van Geet Opening: Napoleon Attack?

The Van Geet Opening: Napoleon Attack has a sharpness score of 95.5 (very decisive), meaning 95.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Napoleon Attack win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Van Geet Opening: Napoleon Attack has a 48.3% (90% CI: 47.9%-48.7%) win rate for white, based on 44K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Napoleon Attack win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Van Geet Opening: Napoleon Attack has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.6%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 37K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Napoleon Attack win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Van Geet Opening: Napoleon Attack has a 52.5% (90% CI: 52.1%-52.8%) win rate for white, based on 45K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Napoleon Attack win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Van Geet Opening: Napoleon Attack has a 51.8% (90% CI: 51.4%-52.3%) win rate for white, based on 38K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Napoleon Attack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Van Geet Opening: Napoleon Attack has a 53.3% (90% CI: 52.8%-53.7%) win rate for white, based on 34K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Napoleon Attack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Van Geet Opening: Napoleon Attack has a 53.4% (90% CI: 52.9%-53.9%) win rate for white, based on 28K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Napoleon Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Van Geet Opening: Napoleon Attack has a 53.9% (90% CI: 53.3%-54.4%) win rate for white, based on 22K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Napoleon Attack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Van Geet Opening: Napoleon Attack has a 54.0% (90% CI: 53.2%-54.7%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Napoleon Attack win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Van Geet Opening: Napoleon Attack has a 53.2% (90% CI: 51.4%-55.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 7.8% draw rate.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Napoleon Attack win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Van Geet Opening: Napoleon Attack has a 51.8% (90% CI: 49.8%-53.7%) win rate for white (1.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.8%.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Napoleon Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Van Geet Opening: Napoleon Attack has a 51.8% (90% CI: 51.5%-52.1%) win rate for white (70K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Napoleon Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Van Geet Opening: Napoleon Attack has a 52.2% (90% CI: 51.9%-52.4%) win rate for white (125K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Napoleon Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Van Geet Opening: Napoleon Attack has a 51.4% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.7%) win rate for white (64K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.3%.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Napoleon Attack win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Van Geet Opening: Napoleon Attack has a 50.8% (90% CI: 49.1%-52.4%) win rate for white (2.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.6%.

Is the Van Geet Opening: Napoleon Attack a good opening?

The Van Geet Opening: Napoleon Attack is statistically favors white with a 51.9% (90% CI: 51.7%-52.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.