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Van Geet Opening: Liebig Gambit

5.1K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Analyze this line move by move

Black expected score · All ratings · All speeds

49.1%

40%55%
Floor47.9%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 50.2%.

Measured over 5.1K games at this level and clock.

Tough Sellloses more often than it wins at this level

Roughly even — the middlegame decides more than this opening choice does.

Outcomes for Black

Draw 4.8 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 5.1K games

Rank among the families Black can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
5.1K
Best context
54.7% at 1800-1999 Bullet
Worst context
48.1% at 1200-1399 Blitz
Average game length
32 moves
Games that end decisively
95.2%
Draws
4.8%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: +1.3% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Where it holds · Black score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for Black, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 46.9% at 0-999, 44.1% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799—
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499———
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 53.2% expected score (92 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 54.2% expected score (201 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (114 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 47.5% expected score (178 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 46.5% expected score (368 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 51.0% expected score (202 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (91 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 48.1% expected score (505 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 44.3% expected score (225 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 41.3% expected score (10 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 36.1% expected score (81 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (346 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 51.1% expected score (243 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 67.7% expected score (7 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.7% expected score (231 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.3% expected score (560 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 38.8% expected score (146 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 54.7% expected score (550 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.8% expected score (248 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 59.9% expected score (105 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 33.7% expected score (20 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 44.5% expected score (288 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.6% expected score (71 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 57.3% expected score (40 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (16 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 42.0% expected score (42 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 50.7% expected score (72 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 32.4% expected score (24 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 43.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Van Geet Opening
49.5%
Variations (5)
Van Geet Opening: Reversed Nimzowitsch
48.6%
Van Geet Opening: Dunst-Perrenet Gambit
52.1%
Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense
48.1%
Van Geet Opening: Napoleon Attack
51.9%
Van Geet Opening: Sicilian Two Knights
47.4%
Analyze Van Geet Opening: Liebig Gambit PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Van Geet Opening: Liebig Gambit scores 49.1% for Black — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 47.9% and 50.2% — from 5.1K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
5.1K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Van Geet Opening: Liebig Gambit win rate?

Playing the Van Geet Opening: Liebig Gambit, Black wins 46.7%, draws 4.8% and loses 48.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.1%. It rests on 5.1K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Van Geet Opening: Liebig Gambit perform best?

The Van Geet Opening: Liebig Gambit performs best for Black at 1800-1999, with an Expected Score of 53.2% (924 games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the Van Geet Opening: Liebig Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

For Black, the Van Geet Opening: Liebig Gambit scores about the same in both: an Expected Score of 48.8% in Blitz (2.4K games) against 48.9% in Rapid (1.1K games).

How sharp is the Van Geet Opening: Liebig Gambit?

The Van Geet Opening: Liebig Gambit has a sharpness score of 95.2 (very decisive), meaning 95.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Liebig Gambit win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, Black wins 50.4%, draws 4.5% and loses 45.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.7%. It rests on 408 Lichess games, which average 26 moves.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Liebig Gambit win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, Black wins 46.2%, draws 3.4% and loses 50.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.9%. It rests on 749 Lichess games, which average 27 moves.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Liebig Gambit win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, Black wins 45.8%, draws 2.5% and loses 51.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.1%. It rests on 835 Lichess games, which average 31 moves.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Liebig Gambit win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, Black wins 47.3%, draws 3.0% and loses 49.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.8%. It rests on 678 Lichess games, which average 31 moves.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Liebig Gambit win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, Black wins 46.5%, draws 3.5% and loses 50.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.3%. It rests on 939 Lichess games, which average 34 moves.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Liebig Gambit win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, Black wins 51.7%, draws 2.9% and loses 45.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.2%. It rests on 924 Lichess games, which average 34 moves.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Liebig Gambit win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, Black wins 44.1%, draws 4.3% and loses 51.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.3%. It rests on 403 Lichess games, which average 34 moves.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Liebig Gambit win rate at 2500+?

At 2500+, Black wins 8.0%, draws 75.6% and loses 16.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.8%. It rests on 105 Lichess games, which average 64 moves.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Liebig Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, Black wins 47.3%, draws 5.4% and loses 47.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.0%. It rests on 1.6K Lichess games.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Liebig Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, Black wins 46.7%, draws 4.1% and loses 49.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.8%. It rests on 2.4K Lichess games.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Liebig Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, Black wins 46.2%, draws 5.3% and loses 48.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.9%. It rests on 1.1K Lichess games.

Is the Van Geet Opening: Liebig Gambit a good opening?

The Van Geet Opening: Liebig Gambit is hard work for Black — it favours White. Across all ratings, Black wins 46.7% of its games and loses 48.6%. It performs best at 1800-1999. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.