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Van Geet Opening: Hector Gambit

36K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score49.6%Range (90% confident): 49.2% – 50.0%Based on 36K games
0%49.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 49.2% – 50.0%
Outcome Distribution
47.8%3.5%48.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.Bc4
Van Geet Opening: Hector Gambit
Analyzen=36K
Avg Length30 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.5%

What is the Van Geet Opening: Hector Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Van Geet Opening: Hector Gambit has a 49.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 49.2% and 50.0%), based on 36K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +2.0% · Breakpoint: 0-999

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 47% → 52%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 46.7% win rate (4,399 games)
  • 1000-1199: 48.8% win rate (4,207 games)
  • 1200-1399: 49.0% win rate (4,115 games)
  • 1400-1599: 46.2% win rate (4,901 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.7% win rate (4,779 games)
  • 1800-1999: 48.3% win rate (4,849 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.8% win rate (4,503 games)
  • 2200-2499: 47.9% win rate (3,531 games)
  • 2500+: 51.5% win rate (475 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Blitz (49%), worst in Classical (45%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 46.4% win rate (2,602 games)
  • Bullet: 47.5% win rate (15,319 games)
  • Blitz: 48.5% win rate (12,766 games)
  • Rapid: 48.0% win rate (4,856 games)
  • Classical: 45.3% win rate (216 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 45.4% expected score (20 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 47.3% expected score (998 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (2,091 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.4% expected score (1,281 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 64.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.9% expected score (52 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (1,136 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (1,884 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 52.3% expected score (1,092 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 41.0% expected score (43 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 47.0% expected score (182 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 46.6% expected score (1,258 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (1,840 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 51.6% expected score (777 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 59.3% expected score (58 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 45.8% expected score (484 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 45.1% expected score (1,636 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.9% expected score (1,971 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 48.8% expected score (753 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 44.9% expected score (57 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 48.6% expected score (703 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 47.0% expected score (1,941 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.5% expected score (1,637 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.8% expected score (464 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 38.8% expected score (34 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 48.4% expected score (806 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (2,188 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (1,505 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 47.8% expected score (340 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 45.7% expected score (10 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 45.4% expected score (330 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.5% expected score (2,932 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.3% expected score (1,112 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 54.8% expected score (124 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 34.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 51.9% expected score (25 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (2,772 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.6% expected score (709 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 48.2% expected score (25 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.8% expected score (458 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (17 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Van Geet Opening
49.5%
Variations (5)
Van Geet Opening: Battambang Variation
48.5%
Van Geet Opening: Berlin Gambit
52.3%
Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit
50.6%
Van Geet Opening: Caro-Kann Variation, St. Patrick's Attack
48.4%
Van Geet Opening: Damhaug Gambit
47.7%
Analyze Van Geet Opening: Hector Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Van Geet Opening: Hector Gambit win rate?

The Van Geet Opening: Hector Gambit has a 47.8% (90% CI: 47.4%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 36K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Van Geet Opening: Hector Gambit perform best?

The Van Geet Opening: Hector Gambit performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 49.0% win rate for white (4.1K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Van Geet Opening: Hector Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (48.5%) outperforms Classical (45.3%) by 3.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Van Geet Opening: Hector Gambit?

The Van Geet Opening: Hector Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.5 (very decisive), meaning 96.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Hector Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Van Geet Opening: Hector Gambit has a 46.7% (90% CI: 45.5%-47.9%) win rate for white, based on 4.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Hector Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Van Geet Opening: Hector Gambit has a 48.8% (90% CI: 47.6%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 4.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Hector Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Van Geet Opening: Hector Gambit has a 49.0% (90% CI: 47.8%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 4.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Hector Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Van Geet Opening: Hector Gambit has a 46.2% (90% CI: 45.0%-47.4%) win rate for white, based on 4.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Hector Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Van Geet Opening: Hector Gambit has a 46.7% (90% CI: 45.5%-47.9%) win rate for white, based on 4.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Hector Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Van Geet Opening: Hector Gambit has a 48.3% (90% CI: 47.2%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 4.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Hector Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Van Geet Opening: Hector Gambit has a 48.8% (90% CI: 47.6%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 4.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Hector Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Van Geet Opening: Hector Gambit has a 47.9% (90% CI: 46.5%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 3.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Hector Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Van Geet Opening: Hector Gambit has a 51.5% (90% CI: 47.8%-55.3%) win rate for white, based on 475 Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.4% draw rate.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Hector Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Van Geet Opening: Hector Gambit has a 46.4% (90% CI: 44.8%-48.0%) win rate for white (2.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.2%.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Hector Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Van Geet Opening: Hector Gambit has a 47.5% (90% CI: 46.8%-48.1%) win rate for white (15K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.8%.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Hector Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Van Geet Opening: Hector Gambit has a 48.5% (90% CI: 47.8%-49.2%) win rate for white (13K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Hector Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Van Geet Opening: Hector Gambit has a 48.0% (90% CI: 46.8%-49.2%) win rate for white (4.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.1%.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Hector Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Van Geet Opening: Hector Gambit has a 45.3% (90% CI: 39.8%-50.9%) win rate for white (216 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

Is the Van Geet Opening: Hector Gambit a good opening?

The Van Geet Opening: Hector Gambit is statistically balanced with a 47.8% (90% CI: 47.4%-48.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.