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Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense, Steiner Gambit

42K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score49.7%Range (90% confident): 49.3% – 50.1%Based on 42K games
0%49.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 49.3% – 50.1%
Outcome Distribution
47.9%3.7%48.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
4.Nxe4
Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense, Steiner Gambit
Analyzen=42K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.7%

What is the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense, Steiner Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense, Steiner Gambit has a 49.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 49.3% and 50.1%), based on 42K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +0.0% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Traps & Chaos

Complexity: 91.6 · Trap factor: +7.9 · n=42K

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 46% → 54%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 45.8% win rate (781 games)
  • 1000-1199: 48.7% win rate (1,364 games)
  • 1200-1399: 48.0% win rate (2,409 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.2% win rate (4,708 games)
  • 1600-1799: 49.1% win rate (9,603 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.4% win rate (12,786 games)
  • 2000-2199: 46.6% win rate (7,542 games)
  • 2200-2499: 47.7% win rate (2,429 games)
  • 2500+: 53.8% win rate (187 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (54%), worst in Bullet (47%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 54.4% win rate (174 games)
  • Bullet: 47.1% win rate (14,859 games)
  • Blitz: 48.2% win rate (21,756 games)
  • Rapid: 48.3% win rate (4,899 games)
  • Classical: 51.0% win rate (121 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 45.9% expected score (231 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.2% expected score (379 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 48.6% expected score (171 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 67.4% expected score (10 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (493 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 48.4% expected score (607 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 53.2% expected score (252 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 57.3% expected score (26 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.6% expected score (888 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (1,103 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 48.3% expected score (379 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 63.8% expected score (13 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 53.7% expected score (39 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.7% expected score (1,571 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.1% expected score (2,365 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 49.9% expected score (702 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 48.5% expected score (31 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 55.3% expected score (55 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.0% expected score (2,826 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.4% expected score (5,482 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 52.5% expected score (1,188 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 54.7% expected score (52 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 51.3% expected score (39 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (3,360 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.3% expected score (7,873 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 51.1% expected score (1,495 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (19 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 46.8% expected score (3,349 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.6% expected score (3,518 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.7% expected score (669 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.8% expected score (1,966 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 51.2% expected score (417 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 55.7% expected score (43 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.3% expected score (175 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 64.9% expected score (12 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Van Geet Opening
49.5%
Variations (5)
Van Geet Opening: Battambang Variation
48.5%
Van Geet Opening: Berlin Gambit
52.3%
Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit
50.6%
Van Geet Opening: Caro-Kann Variation, St. Patrick's Attack
48.4%
Van Geet Opening: Damhaug Gambit
47.7%
Analyze Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense, Steiner Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense, Steiner Gambit win rate?

The Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense, Steiner Gambit has a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.5%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 42K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense, Steiner Gambit perform best?

The Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense, Steiner Gambit performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 49.1% win rate for white (9.6K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense, Steiner Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (54.4%) outperforms Classical (51.0%) by 3.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense, Steiner Gambit?

The Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense, Steiner Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.3 (very decisive), meaning 96.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense, Steiner Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense, Steiner Gambit has a 45.8% (90% CI: 42.9%-48.7%) win rate for white, based on 781 Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense, Steiner Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense, Steiner Gambit has a 48.7% (90% CI: 46.5%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense, Steiner Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense, Steiner Gambit has a 48.0% (90% CI: 46.3%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 2.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense, Steiner Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense, Steiner Gambit has a 48.2% (90% CI: 47.0%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 4.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense, Steiner Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense, Steiner Gambit has a 49.1% (90% CI: 48.3%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 9.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense, Steiner Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense, Steiner Gambit has a 47.4% (90% CI: 46.7%-48.2%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense, Steiner Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense, Steiner Gambit has a 46.6% (90% CI: 45.7%-47.6%) win rate for white, based on 7.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense, Steiner Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense, Steiner Gambit has a 47.7% (90% CI: 46.0%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 2.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense, Steiner Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense, Steiner Gambit has a 53.8% (90% CI: 47.9%-59.8%) win rate for white, based on 187 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense, Steiner Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense, Steiner Gambit has a 54.4% (90% CI: 48.2%-60.6%) win rate for white (174 Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.9%.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense, Steiner Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense, Steiner Gambit has a 47.1% (90% CI: 46.4%-47.8%) win rate for white (15K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.7%.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense, Steiner Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense, Steiner Gambit has a 48.2% (90% CI: 47.7%-48.8%) win rate for white (22K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense, Steiner Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense, Steiner Gambit has a 48.3% (90% CI: 47.1%-49.5%) win rate for white (4.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.9%.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense, Steiner Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense, Steiner Gambit has a 51.0% (90% CI: 43.6%-58.4%) win rate for white (121 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.8%.

Is the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense, Steiner Gambit a good opening?

The Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense, Steiner Gambit is statistically balanced with a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.5%-48.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.