TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Van Geet Opening: Gladbacher Gambit

228 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score52.9%Range (90% confident): 47.4% – 58.3%Based on 228 games
0%52.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 47.4% – 58.3%
Outcome Distribution
50.8%4.1%45.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
4.d3
Van Geet Opening: Gladbacher Gambit
Analyzen=228
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.1%

What is the Van Geet Opening: Gladbacher Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Van Geet Opening: Gladbacher Gambit has a 52.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 47.4% and 58.3%), based on 228 Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 22% → 60%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200

  • 0-999: 22.4% win rate (23 games)
  • 1000-1199: 45.2% win rate (35 games)
  • 1200-1399: 50.7% win rate (33 games)
  • 1400-1599: 57.7% win rate (34 games)
  • 1600-1799: 54.8% win rate (45 games)
  • 1800-1999: 57.0% win rate (38 games)
  • 2000-2199: 51.2% win rate (19 games)
  • 2200-2499: 60.0% win rate (1 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (69%), worst in Rapid (40%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 69.2% win rate (5 games)
  • Bullet: 56.2% win rate (108 games)
  • Blitz: 45.3% win rate (79 games)
  • Rapid: 40.3% win rate (32 games)
  • Classical: 45.5% win rate (4 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799—
1800-1999——
2000-2199———
2200-2499————
2500+—————

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 25.7% expected score (17 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 35.7% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 65.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 54.7% expected score (20 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 31.0% expected score (9 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 38.9% expected score (12 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 56.9% expected score (13 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 54.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 56.7% expected score (36 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 63.8% expected score (24 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (13 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 47.0% expected score (15 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Van Geet Opening
49.5%
Variations (5)
Van Geet Opening: Battambang Variation
48.5%
Van Geet Opening: Berlin Gambit
52.3%
Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit
50.6%
Van Geet Opening: Caro-Kann Variation, St. Patrick's Attack
48.4%
Van Geet Opening: Damhaug Gambit
47.7%
Analyze Van Geet Opening: Gladbacher Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Van Geet Opening: Gladbacher Gambit win rate?

The Van Geet Opening: Gladbacher Gambit has a 50.8% (90% CI: 45.3%-56.2%) win rate for white, based on 228 rated games from Lichess.

Is the Van Geet Opening: Gladbacher Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (56.2%) outperforms Blitz (45.3%) by 10.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Van Geet Opening: Gladbacher Gambit?

The Van Geet Opening: Gladbacher Gambit has a sharpness score of 95.9 (very decisive), meaning 95.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Gladbacher Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Van Geet Opening: Gladbacher Gambit has a 56.2% (90% CI: 48.3%-63.9%) win rate for white (108 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.

Is the Van Geet Opening: Gladbacher Gambit a good opening?

The Van Geet Opening: Gladbacher Gambit is slightly favors black with a 50.8% (90% CI: 45.3%-56.2%) win rate across all ratings. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.