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Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Spassky Variation

967 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score49.0%Range (90% confident): 46.3% – 51.6%Based on 967 games
0%49.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 46.3% – 51.6%
Outcome Distribution
44.5%9.0%46.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
11...Bg4
Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Spassky Variation
Analyzen=967
Avg Length40 moves
Sharpness91%
Draw Rate9.0%

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Spassky Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Spassky Variation has a 49.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 46.3% and 51.6%), based on 967 Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 39% → 46%

1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 1600-1799: 39.1% win rate (10 games)
  • 1800-1999: 39.8% win rate (55 games)
  • 2000-2199: 46.6% win rate (212 games)
  • 2200-2499: 43.3% win rate (468 games)
  • 2500+: 45.9% win rate (222 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Blitz (46%), worst in Classical (14%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 42.7% win rate (381 games)
  • Blitz: 45.8% win rate (556 games)
  • Rapid: 42.4% win rate (28 games)
  • Classical: 14.3% win rate (2 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—————
1000-1199—————
1200-1399—————
1400-1599—————
1600-1799——
1800-1999——
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 40.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (16 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 46.0% expected score (36 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 72.3% expected score (3 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.5% expected score (59 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.7% expected score (146 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 80.8% expected score (5 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 43.0% expected score (161 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (288 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 37.8% expected score (19 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 49.3% expected score (140 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 51.2% expected score (82 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Tarrasch Defense
48.8%
Variations (5)
Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation
49.0%
Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Advance Variation
44.6%
Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Bogoljubow Variation
46.6%
Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Carlsbad Variation
48.9%
Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Classical Tarrasch Gambit
45.0%
Analyze Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Spassky Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Spassky Variation win rate?

The Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Spassky Variation has a 44.5% (90% CI: 41.8%-47.1%) win rate for white, based on 967 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Spassky Variation perform best?

The Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Spassky Variation performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 46.6% win rate for white (212 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Spassky Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (45.8%) outperforms Bullet (42.7%) by 3.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Spassky Variation?

The Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Spassky Variation has a sharpness score of 91.0 (decisive), meaning 91.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 40 moves.

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Spassky Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Spassky Variation has a 46.6% (90% CI: 41.0%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 212 Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 7.3% draw rate.

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Spassky Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Spassky Variation has a 43.3% (90% CI: 39.6%-47.1%) win rate for white, based on 468 Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 10.8% draw rate.

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Spassky Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Spassky Variation has a 45.9% (90% CI: 40.4%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 222 Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 8.3% draw rate.

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Spassky Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Spassky Variation has a 42.7% (90% CI: 38.6%-46.9%) win rate for white (381 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.2%.

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Spassky Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Spassky Variation has a 45.8% (90% CI: 42.4%-49.3%) win rate for white (556 Lichess games). Draw rate is 10.1%.

Is the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Spassky Variation a good opening?

The Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Spassky Variation is slightly favors black with a 44.5% (90% CI: 41.8%-47.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.