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St. George Defense: Zilbermints Gambit

15K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score44.8%Range (90% confident): 44.1% – 45.5%Based on 15K games
0%44.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 44.1% – 45.5%
Outcome Distribution
43.2%3.1%53.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
2...e5
St. George Defense: Zilbermints Gambit
Analyzen=15K
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.1%

What is the St. George Defense: Zilbermints Gambit expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the St. George Defense: Zilbermints Gambit has a 44.8% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 44.1% and 45.5%), based on 15K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: -10.3% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 8.8% · Classical best · Bullet worst

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 45% → 41%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 45.1% win rate (2,103 games)
  • 1000-1199: 44.1% win rate (3,094 games)
  • 1200-1399: 41.9% win rate (3,470 games)
  • 1400-1599: 43.3% win rate (2,941 games)
  • 1600-1799: 43.5% win rate (1,977 games)
  • 1800-1999: 41.2% win rate (859 games)
  • 2000-2199: 40.7% win rate (334 games)
  • 2200-2499: 39.6% win rate (141 games)
  • 2500+: 41.0% win rate (29 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (48%), worst in Classical (33%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 47.8% win rate (56 games)
  • Bullet: 45.6% win rate (3,703 games)
  • Blitz: 43.4% win rate (7,582 games)
  • Rapid: 40.6% win rate (3,476 games)
  • Classical: 32.8% win rate (131 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (569 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 47.0% expected score (1,143 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 43.3% expected score (385 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 35.7% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 49.1% expected score (660 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 46.9% expected score (1,745 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 40.6% expected score (669 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 42.6% expected score (12 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.5% expected score (812 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 42.9% expected score (1,778 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 41.0% expected score (837 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 35.8% expected score (37 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 57.9% expected score (24 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 45.2% expected score (666 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 45.0% expected score (1,459 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 43.2% expected score (744 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 36.9% expected score (48 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 45.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 44.4% expected score (454 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 46.7% expected score (926 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 44.2% expected score (560 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 31.4% expected score (28 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 46.2% expected score (274 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 42.2% expected score (355 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 41.2% expected score (224 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 41.7% expected score (155 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 40.4% expected score (124 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.8% expected score (52 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 39.4% expected score (88 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 49.0% expected score (48 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 48.1% expected score (25 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 31.9% expected score (4 games)

Related Openings

Parent
St. George Defense
49.7%
Variations (2)
St. George Defense: Polish Variation
49.8%
St. George Defense: San Jorge Variation
48.7%
Analyze St. George Defense: Zilbermints Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the St. George Defense: Zilbermints Gambit win rate?

The St. George Defense: Zilbermints Gambit has a 53.6% (90% CI: 53.0%-54.3%) win rate for white, based on 15K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the St. George Defense: Zilbermints Gambit perform best?

The St. George Defense: Zilbermints Gambit performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 55.1% win rate for white (3.5K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the St. George Defense: Zilbermints Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (55.9%) outperforms UltraBullet (51.3%) by 4.6%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the St. George Defense: Zilbermints Gambit?

The St. George Defense: Zilbermints Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.9 (very decisive), meaning 96.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the St. George Defense: Zilbermints Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the St. George Defense: Zilbermints Gambit has a 52.2% (90% CI: 50.4%-54.0%) win rate for white, based on 2.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the St. George Defense: Zilbermints Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the St. George Defense: Zilbermints Gambit has a 52.2% (90% CI: 50.7%-53.7%) win rate for white, based on 3.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the St. George Defense: Zilbermints Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the St. George Defense: Zilbermints Gambit has a 55.1% (90% CI: 53.7%-56.4%) win rate for white, based on 3.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the St. George Defense: Zilbermints Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the St. George Defense: Zilbermints Gambit has a 54.2% (90% CI: 52.7%-55.7%) win rate for white, based on 2.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the St. George Defense: Zilbermints Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the St. George Defense: Zilbermints Gambit has a 53.1% (90% CI: 51.2%-54.9%) win rate for white, based on 2.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the St. George Defense: Zilbermints Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the St. George Defense: Zilbermints Gambit has a 55.0% (90% CI: 52.2%-57.8%) win rate for white, based on 859 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the St. George Defense: Zilbermints Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the St. George Defense: Zilbermints Gambit has a 55.6% (90% CI: 51.1%-60.0%) win rate for white, based on 334 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the St. George Defense: Zilbermints Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the St. George Defense: Zilbermints Gambit has a 53.7% (90% CI: 46.8%-60.5%) win rate for white, based on 141 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 6.7% draw rate.

What is the St. George Defense: Zilbermints Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the St. George Defense: Zilbermints Gambit has a 52.7% (90% CI: 51.3%-54.0%) win rate for white (3.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.7%.

What is the St. George Defense: Zilbermints Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the St. George Defense: Zilbermints Gambit has a 52.9% (90% CI: 52.0%-53.9%) win rate for white (7.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

What is the St. George Defense: Zilbermints Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the St. George Defense: Zilbermints Gambit has a 55.9% (90% CI: 54.6%-57.3%) win rate for white (3.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.5%.

What is the St. George Defense: Zilbermints Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the St. George Defense: Zilbermints Gambit has a 61.5% (90% CI: 54.5%-68.3%) win rate for white (131 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.7%.

Is the St. George Defense: Zilbermints Gambit a good opening?

The St. George Defense: Zilbermints Gambit is statistically favors white with a 53.6% (90% CI: 53.0%-54.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.