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St. George Defense: Polish Variation

141K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score51.5%Range (90% confident): 51.3% – 51.7%Based on 141K games
0%51.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.3% – 51.7%
Outcome Distribution
49.8%3.5%46.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
4...e6
St. George Defense: Polish Variation
Analyzen=141K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.5%

What is the St. George Defense: Polish Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the St. George Defense: Polish Variation has a 51.5% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.3% and 51.7%), based on 141K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~48%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 48.3% win rate (890 games)
  • 1000-1199: 50.1% win rate (3,836 games)
  • 1200-1399: 49.8% win rate (11,136 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.2% win rate (23,396 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.2% win rate (33,851 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.8% win rate (32,801 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.2% win rate (18,994 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.0% win rate (10,910 games)
  • 2500+: 48.2% win rate (5,160 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Rapid (52%), worst in UltraBullet (45%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 45.1% win rate (44 games)
  • Bullet: 48.3% win rate (43,555 games)
  • Blitz: 50.2% win rate (80,173 games)
  • Rapid: 51.5% win rate (16,681 games)
  • Classical: 49.7% win rate (521 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 47.9% expected score (467 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.2% expected score (342 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 55.8% expected score (77 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 49.9% expected score (1,501 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 51.9% expected score (1,957 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 53.5% expected score (377 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 32.4% expected score (7 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 46.8% expected score (3,566 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.3% expected score (6,434 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 57.9% expected score (1,109 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 43.0% expected score (20 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 20.6% expected score (7 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.9% expected score (6,232 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.1% expected score (13,785 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 53.3% expected score (3,217 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 51.0% expected score (155 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (7,981 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.9% expected score (20,383 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.4% expected score (5,288 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 57.5% expected score (194 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 64.3% expected score (16 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (7,010 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.6% expected score (21,107 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.5% expected score (4,560 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 48.7% expected score (108 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.7% expected score (6,892 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.3% expected score (10,357 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 54.8% expected score (1,705 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 57.8% expected score (37 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (5,789 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.1% expected score (4,778 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 48.6% expected score (335 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 49.8% expected score (4,117 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 54.9% expected score (1,030 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 56.9% expected score (13 games)

Related Openings

Parent
St. George Defense
49.7%
Variations (2)
St. George Defense: San Jorge Variation
48.7%
St. George Defense: Zilbermints Gambit
53.6%
Analyze St. George Defense: Polish Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the St. George Defense: Polish Variation win rate?

The St. George Defense: Polish Variation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.5%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 141K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the St. George Defense: Polish Variation perform best?

The St. George Defense: Polish Variation performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 50.2% win rate for white (23K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the St. George Defense: Polish Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (51.5%) outperforms Classical (49.7%) by 1.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the St. George Defense: Polish Variation?

The St. George Defense: Polish Variation has a sharpness score of 96.5 (very decisive), meaning 96.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the St. George Defense: Polish Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the St. George Defense: Polish Variation has a 48.3% (90% CI: 45.5%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 890 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 1.5% draw rate.

What is the St. George Defense: Polish Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the St. George Defense: Polish Variation has a 50.1% (90% CI: 48.8%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 3.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the St. George Defense: Polish Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the St. George Defense: Polish Variation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.0%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the St. George Defense: Polish Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the St. George Defense: Polish Variation has a 50.2% (90% CI: 49.7%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 23K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the St. George Defense: Polish Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the St. George Defense: Polish Variation has a 50.2% (90% CI: 49.7%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 34K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the St. George Defense: Polish Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the St. George Defense: Polish Variation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.4%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 33K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the St. George Defense: Polish Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the St. George Defense: Polish Variation has a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.6%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 19K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the St. George Defense: Polish Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the St. George Defense: Polish Variation has a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.2%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the St. George Defense: Polish Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the St. George Defense: Polish Variation has a 48.2% (90% CI: 47.0%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 5.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the St. George Defense: Polish Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the St. George Defense: Polish Variation has a 48.3% (90% CI: 47.9%-48.7%) win rate for white (44K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.6%.

What is the St. George Defense: Polish Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the St. George Defense: Polish Variation has a 50.2% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.4%) win rate for white (80K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

What is the St. George Defense: Polish Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the St. George Defense: Polish Variation has a 51.5% (90% CI: 50.9%-52.1%) win rate for white (17K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.5%.

What is the St. George Defense: Polish Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the St. George Defense: Polish Variation has a 49.7% (90% CI: 46.1%-53.3%) win rate for white (521 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.6%.

Is the St. George Defense: Polish Variation a good opening?

The St. George Defense: Polish Variation is statistically balanced with a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.5%-50.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.