Sodium Attack

2 variations · 194K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

1.Na3

Analyze this line move by move

White expected score · Overall

47.7%

40%55%

Floor47.5%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 47.9%.

Measured over 194K games at this level and clock.

Tough Sellloses more often than it wins at this level

White comes out behind here — there are better weapons in the ranked list.

Outcomes for White

45.3%4.7%50.0%

Win

Draw

Loss

Draw 4.7 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 194K games

Rank among the families White can choose here: #49 of 56
Games in this context: 194K
Best context: 55.2% at 2500+ Bullet
Worst context: 30.2% at 1400-1599 Classical
Variations measured: 2
Average game length: 33 moves

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

What to play from here

White · Overall

#1Sodium AttackBest here

1.Na3

Floor 47.5% · 193K games

47.7%

These are the moves players actually choose from here, ranked by how they score. A higher score is a better bet on the numbers alone — familiarity and playstyle still matter.

Where it holds · White score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 37.5% at 0-999, 54.4% at 2500+.

Rating	UB	Bulle	Blitz	Rapid	Class
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 29.0% expected score (84 games)
0-999 rating, Bullet: 41.1% expected score (6,723 games)
0-999 rating, Blitz: 43.2% expected score (16,856 games)
0-999 rating, Rapid: 41.9% expected score (10,624 games)
0-999 rating, Classical: 32.4% expected score (256 games)
1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 51.0% expected score (366 games)
1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 45.9% expected score (5,008 games)
1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 45.4% expected score (9,535 games)
1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 40.6% expected score (4,280 games)
1000-1199 rating, Classical: 36.8% expected score (430 games)
1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.9% expected score (1,017 games)
1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.0% expected score (9,910 games)
1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 44.5% expected score (7,039 games)
1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 42.3% expected score (3,257 games)
1200-1399 rating, Classical: 36.5% expected score (558 games)
1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 48.3% expected score (1,188 games)
1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 46.8% expected score (11,817 games)
1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 46.6% expected score (9,017 games)
1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 38.2% expected score (3,073 games)
1400-1599 rating, Classical: 30.2% expected score (571 games)
1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 46.8% expected score (277 games)
1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.9% expected score (8,030 games)
1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (8,299 games)
1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 46.6% expected score (1,633 games)
1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.8% expected score (249 games)
1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 47.2% expected score (580 games)
1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (19,899 games)
1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (10,488 games)
1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.6% expected score (2,065 games)
1800-1999 rating, Classical: 53.2% expected score (62 games)
2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 58.8% expected score (90 games)
2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.1% expected score (13,973 games)
2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.7% expected score (9,717 games)
2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 53.8% expected score (1,890 games)
2000-2199 rating, Classical: 53.4% expected score (57 games)
2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 75.7% expected score (18 games)
2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (8,194 games)
2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.3% expected score (2,746 games)
2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 54.8% expected score (366 games)
2200-2499 rating, Classical: 32.4% expected score (7 games)
2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.2% expected score (2,496 games)
2500+ rating, Blitz: 49.7% expected score (708 games)
2500+ rating, Rapid: 43.9% expected score (81 games)
2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (3 games)

2 variations · ranked by floor

Floor — the worst score you would still get, 90% confident.

Sodium Attack193K games

Losing47.7%Floor 47.5%

Sodium Attack: Durkin Gambit103 games

Losing50.0%Floor 42.1%

Analyze Sodium Attack PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Sodium Attack family scores 47.7% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 47.5% and 47.9% — from 194K Lichess games across 2 variations. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made

Whose games these are: 194K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count: Rated games only — nothing casual.
Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
At least 2 moves played.
A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range: A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything: An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sodium Attack win rate?

Across the Sodium Attack's 2 variations, White wins 45.3%, draws 4.7% and loses 50.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.7%. It rests on 194K rated games from Lichess.

How many Sodium Attack variations are there?

2 Sodium Attack variations have a page of their own, each broken down by rating and by clock.

At what rating does the Sodium Attack perform best?

The Sodium Attack family performs best for White at 2500+, with an Expected Score of 53.7% (3.3K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read. Performance may vary by specific variation.

Is the Sodium Attack better in blitz or rapid?

For White, the Sodium Attack scores higher in Blitz: an Expected Score of 47.5% in Blitz (74K games) against 43.3% in Rapid (27K games).

How sharp is the Sodium Attack?

Sodium Attack games are 95.3% decisive (non-draws), with an average length of 33 moves. Sharpness varies by specific variation.

Is the Sodium Attack a good opening family?

The Sodium Attack family is hard work for White — it favours Black overall. Across its games, White wins 45.3% and loses 50.0%. Results differ between its 2 variations, so open the one you play for its own figures.