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Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Lundin Variation

3.2K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score50.3%Range (90% confident): 48.9% – 51.7%Based on 3.2K games
0%50.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 48.9% – 51.7%
Outcome Distribution
44.6%11.3%44.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
8...b4
Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Lundin Variation
Analyzen=3.2K
Avg Length41 moves
Sharpness89%
Draw Rate11.3%

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Lundin Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Lundin Variation has a 50.3% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 48.9% and 51.7%), based on 3.2K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 71% → 34%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 71.4% win rate (2 games)
  • 1000-1199: 44.0% win rate (11 games)
  • 1200-1399: 50.6% win rate (37 games)
  • 1400-1599: 56.8% win rate (91 games)
  • 1600-1799: 45.8% win rate (207 games)
  • 1800-1999: 48.1% win rate (550 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.7% win rate (913 games)
  • 2200-2499: 45.3% win rate (934 games)
  • 2500+: 33.7% win rate (486 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (46%), worst in Classical (34%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 45.6% win rate (839 games)
  • Blitz: 44.4% win rate (1,926 games)
  • Rapid: 44.7% win rate (422 games)
  • Classical: 34.1% win rate (44 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999————
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 37.8% expected score (19 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 54.4% expected score (10 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 81.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (22 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 62.7% expected score (54 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 72.3% expected score (12 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 72.3% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.3% expected score (56 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 46.9% expected score (111 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 56.9% expected score (35 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (123 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.8% expected score (336 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 52.3% expected score (85 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 83.3% expected score (6 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.5% expected score (106 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.9% expected score (655 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.3% expected score (139 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 39.7% expected score (13 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 46.9% expected score (284 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (555 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 52.8% expected score (89 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 53.4% expected score (222 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 49.0% expected score (203 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 46.2% expected score (50 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 42.0% expected score (11 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Semi-Slav Defense
51.5%
Variations (5)
Semi-Slav Defense: Accelerated Move Order
50.8%
Semi-Slav Defense: Main Line
51.8%
Semi-Slav Defense: Marshall Gambit
53.5%
Semi-Slav Defense: Noteboom Variation
49.8%
Semi-Slav Defense: Normal Variation
48.8%
Analyze Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Lundin Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Lundin Variation win rate?

The Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Lundin Variation has a 44.1% (90% CI: 42.7%-45.5%) win rate for white, based on 3.2K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Lundin Variation perform best?

The Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Lundin Variation performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 48.1% win rate for white (913 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Lundin Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (46.3%) outperforms Rapid (40.3%) by 6.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Lundin Variation?

The Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Lundin Variation has a sharpness score of 88.7 (moderately decisive), meaning 88.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 41 moves.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Lundin Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Lundin Variation has a 48.2% (90% CI: 42.5%-53.9%) win rate for white, based on 207 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Lundin Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Lundin Variation has a 44.9% (90% CI: 41.4%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 550 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 7.0% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Lundin Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Lundin Variation has a 48.1% (90% CI: 45.3%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 913 Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.3% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Lundin Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Lundin Variation has a 45.7% (90% CI: 43.0%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 934 Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 9.0% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Lundin Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Lundin Variation has a 32.7% (90% CI: 29.3%-36.3%) win rate for white, based on 486 Lichess games. Average game length is 52 moves with a 33.5% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Lundin Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Lundin Variation has a 46.3% (90% CI: 43.5%-49.2%) win rate for white (839 Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.0%.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Lundin Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Lundin Variation has a 44.2% (90% CI: 42.4%-46.1%) win rate for white (1.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 11.4%.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Lundin Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Lundin Variation has a 40.3% (90% CI: 36.4%-44.2%) win rate for white (422 Lichess games). Draw rate is 15.0%.

Is the Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Lundin Variation a good opening?

The Semi-Slav Defense: Meran Variation, Lundin Variation is statistically balanced with a 44.1% (90% CI: 42.7%-45.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.