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Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubow Variation

72K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score46.7%Range (90% confident): 46.4% – 47.0%Based on 72K games
0%46.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 46.4% – 47.0%
Outcome Distribution
44.3%4.8%51.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
6...Be7
Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubow Variation
Analyzen=72K
Avg Length37 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.8%

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubow Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubow Variation has a 46.7% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 46.4% and 47.0%), based on 72K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 46% → 38%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 45.9% win rate (165 games)
  • 1000-1199: 49.8% win rate (682 games)
  • 1200-1399: 47.9% win rate (2,315 games)
  • 1400-1599: 45.9% win rate (6,062 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.3% win rate (13,332 games)
  • 1800-1999: 44.5% win rate (21,522 games)
  • 2000-2199: 43.3% win rate (17,744 games)
  • 2200-2499: 41.3% win rate (9,110 games)
  • 2500+: 37.5% win rate (1,374 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (45%), worst in UltraBullet (27%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 26.8% win rate (19 games)
  • Bullet: 45.1% win rate (28,138 games)
  • Blitz: 43.9% win rate (36,939 games)
  • Rapid: 43.4% win rate (6,894 games)
  • Classical: 35.4% win rate (316 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (76 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 41.5% expected score (75 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (14 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (365 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (265 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 49.1% expected score (50 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (1,153 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.8% expected score (970 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 49.0% expected score (190 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 46.3% expected score (2,528 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 48.0% expected score (2,916 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 51.3% expected score (578 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 51.4% expected score (34 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.0% expected score (4,763 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.2% expected score (7,231 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.6% expected score (1,254 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 45.1% expected score (80 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 32.4% expected score (7 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 46.6% expected score (6,871 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 47.4% expected score (12,177 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 46.0% expected score (2,333 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 39.0% expected score (134 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 46.6% expected score (6,241 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 45.6% expected score (9,485 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 46.6% expected score (1,958 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 32.9% expected score (60 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 46.6% expected score (5,017 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 42.2% expected score (3,586 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 40.2% expected score (501 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 42.8% expected score (1,124 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 35.6% expected score (234 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 41.4% expected score (16 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Semi-Slav Defense
51.5%
Variations (5)
Semi-Slav Defense: Accelerated Move Order
50.8%
Semi-Slav Defense: Main Line
51.8%
Semi-Slav Defense: Marshall Gambit
53.5%
Semi-Slav Defense: Noteboom Variation
49.8%
Semi-Slav Defense: Normal Variation
48.8%
Analyze Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubow Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubow Variation win rate?

The Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubow Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.7%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 72K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubow Variation perform best?

The Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubow Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 54.4% win rate for white (1.4K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubow Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (51.6%) outperforms Rapid (49.9%) by 1.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubow Variation?

The Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubow Variation has a sharpness score of 95.2 (very decisive), meaning 95.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubow Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubow Variation has a 52.6% (90% CI: 46.2%-58.9%) win rate for white, based on 165 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 1.5% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubow Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubow Variation has a 48.1% (90% CI: 44.9%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 682 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubow Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubow Variation has a 49.7% (90% CI: 48.0%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 2.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubow Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubow Variation has a 50.7% (90% CI: 49.6%-51.7%) win rate for white, based on 6.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubow Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubow Variation has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.3%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubow Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubow Variation has a 50.7% (90% CI: 50.2%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 22K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubow Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubow Variation has a 51.3% (90% CI: 50.7%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 18K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubow Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubow Variation has a 52.3% (90% CI: 51.5%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 9.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 6.3% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubow Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubow Variation has a 54.4% (90% CI: 52.2%-56.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 44 moves with a 8.1% draw rate.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubow Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubow Variation has a 51.6% (90% CI: 51.1%-52.1%) win rate for white (28K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubow Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubow Variation has a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.2%-51.0%) win rate for white (37K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.5%.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubow Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubow Variation has a 49.9% (90% CI: 48.9%-50.9%) win rate for white (6.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.7%.

What is the Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubow Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubow Variation has a 53.7% (90% CI: 49.1%-58.3%) win rate for white (316 Lichess games). Draw rate is 10.9%.

Is the Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubow Variation a good opening?

The Semi-Slav Defense: Bogoljubow Variation is statistically favors white with a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.7%-51.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.