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Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Correspondence Refutation

26K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score51.0%Range (90% confident): 50.5% – 51.5%Based on 26K games
0%51.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.5% – 51.5%
Outcome Distribution
49.2%3.6%47.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.g4
Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Correspondence Refutation
Analyzen=26K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.6%

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Correspondence Refutation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Correspondence Refutation has a 51.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.5% and 51.5%), based on 26K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 15.5% · Classical best · Blitz worst

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 48% → 50%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 47.7% win rate (54 games)
  • 1000-1199: 45.0% win rate (93 games)
  • 1200-1399: 50.8% win rate (226 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.2% win rate (768 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.1% win rate (1,760 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.9% win rate (5,084 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.7% win rate (9,084 games)
  • 2200-2499: 50.0% win rate (7,539 games)
  • 2500+: 50.0% win rate (1,411 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (64%), worst in UltraBullet (14%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 14.3% win rate (2 games)
  • Bullet: 49.4% win rate (7,523 games)
  • Blitz: 48.1% win rate (14,849 games)
  • Rapid: 52.6% win rate (3,427 games)
  • Classical: 63.6% win rate (218 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 39.7% expected score (13 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 42.5% expected score (25 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 67.2% expected score (16 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (42 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 35.9% expected score (41 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 54.8% expected score (9 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 55.6% expected score (89 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 43.5% expected score (98 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 64.9% expected score (39 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 45.1% expected score (291 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.0% expected score (348 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 60.3% expected score (125 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 43.8% expected score (517 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 46.5% expected score (937 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.6% expected score (280 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 67.0% expected score (25 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.9% expected score (1,048 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (3,269 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 54.1% expected score (671 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 61.8% expected score (96 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (2,070 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.5% expected score (5,572 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 53.6% expected score (1,370 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 68.6% expected score (71 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (2,444 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 51.2% expected score (4,185 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 56.4% expected score (890 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 70.9% expected score (20 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 51.1% expected score (1,009 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 53.2% expected score (374 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 65.8% expected score (27 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Scandinavian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack
51.7%
Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack, Collijn Variation
52.9%
Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack, Goteborg System
54.6%
Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack, Orthodox Attack
44.3%
Scandinavian Defense: Blackburne Gambit
47.6%
Analyze Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Correspondence Refutation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Correspondence Refutation win rate?

The Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Correspondence Refutation has a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.7%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 26K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Correspondence Refutation perform best?

The Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Correspondence Refutation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 50.0% win rate for white (7.5K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Correspondence Refutation better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (63.6%) outperforms Blitz (48.1%) by 15.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Correspondence Refutation?

The Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Correspondence Refutation has a sharpness score of 96.4 (very decisive), meaning 96.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Correspondence Refutation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Correspondence Refutation has a 50.8% (90% CI: 45.3%-56.2%) win rate for white, based on 226 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Correspondence Refutation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Correspondence Refutation has a 49.2% (90% CI: 46.2%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 768 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Correspondence Refutation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Correspondence Refutation has a 46.1% (90% CI: 44.1%-48.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Correspondence Refutation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Correspondence Refutation has a 47.9% (90% CI: 46.8%-49.1%) win rate for white, based on 5.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Correspondence Refutation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Correspondence Refutation has a 49.7% (90% CI: 48.9%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 9.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Correspondence Refutation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Correspondence Refutation has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.1%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 7.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Correspondence Refutation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Correspondence Refutation has a 50.0% (90% CI: 47.8%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Correspondence Refutation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Correspondence Refutation has a 49.4% (90% CI: 48.5%-50.4%) win rate for white (7.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Correspondence Refutation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Correspondence Refutation has a 48.1% (90% CI: 47.4%-48.8%) win rate for white (15K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Correspondence Refutation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Correspondence Refutation has a 52.6% (90% CI: 51.2%-54.0%) win rate for white (3.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Correspondence Refutation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Correspondence Refutation has a 63.6% (90% CI: 58.2%-68.8%) win rate for white (218 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.

Is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Correspondence Refutation a good opening?

The Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Correspondence Refutation is statistically balanced with a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.7%-49.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.