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Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack

31K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score54.6%Range (90% confident): 54.1% – 55.1%Based on 31K games
0%54.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 54.1% – 55.1%
Outcome Distribution
51.7%5.7%42.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
6.Bxc6
Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack
Analyzen=31K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate5.7%

What is the Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack has a 54.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 54.1% and 55.1%), based on 31K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 49% → 55%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 49.4% win rate (1,532 games)
  • 1000-1199: 51.7% win rate (3,438 games)
  • 1200-1399: 52.0% win rate (5,461 games)
  • 1400-1599: 52.4% win rate (7,093 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.8% win rate (6,433 games)
  • 1800-1999: 51.3% win rate (4,216 games)
  • 2000-2199: 51.9% win rate (1,945 games)
  • 2200-2499: 54.5% win rate (873 games)
  • 2500+: 55.3% win rate (334 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (69%), worst in Blitz (51%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 68.9% win rate (21 games)
  • Bullet: 52.0% win rate (7,054 games)
  • Blitz: 51.3% win rate (15,980 games)
  • Rapid: 52.0% win rate (7,876 games)
  • Classical: 54.0% win rate (394 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 51.0% expected score (482 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 51.8% expected score (794 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 53.6% expected score (251 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 61.1% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 55.4% expected score (948 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 54.1% expected score (1,719 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 53.7% expected score (761 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 51.2% expected score (1,220 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 54.7% expected score (2,836 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 57.1% expected score (1,373 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 69.3% expected score (27 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 81.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 57.0% expected score (1,307 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 54.7% expected score (3,793 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 55.2% expected score (1,879 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 57.9% expected score (106 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (964 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.2% expected score (3,320 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 54.7% expected score (1,981 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 53.6% expected score (167 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.8% expected score (878 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 54.5% expected score (2,131 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 54.4% expected score (1,134 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 65.2% expected score (71 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (634 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 56.6% expected score (907 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 57.1% expected score (394 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 58.7% expected score (10 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 56.5% expected score (376 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 57.4% expected score (394 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 72.5% expected score (101 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 56.1% expected score (245 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 68.3% expected score (86 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 35.7% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Ruy Lopez
51.9%
Variations (5)
Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense
55.9%
Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense, Alapin Gambit
53.0%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense
49.9%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Anderssen Variation
48.6%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Berlin Wall
12.2%
Analyze Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack win rate?

The Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack has a 51.7% (90% CI: 51.2%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 31K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack perform best?

The Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 54.5% win rate for white (873 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (52.0%) outperforms Classical (54.0%) by -2.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack?

The Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack has a sharpness score of 94.3 (decisive), meaning 94.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack has a 49.4% (90% CI: 47.3%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack has a 51.7% (90% CI: 50.3%-53.1%) win rate for white, based on 3.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack has a 52.0% (90% CI: 50.9%-53.1%) win rate for white, based on 5.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack has a 52.4% (90% CI: 51.4%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 7.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.8% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack has a 50.8% (90% CI: 49.8%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 6.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack has a 51.3% (90% CI: 50.1%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 4.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 6.3% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack has a 51.9% (90% CI: 50.1%-53.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 6.8% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack has a 54.5% (90% CI: 51.7%-57.3%) win rate for white, based on 873 Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 8.7% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack has a 55.3% (90% CI: 50.8%-59.7%) win rate for white, based on 334 Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 7.3% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack has a 52.0% (90% CI: 51.0%-53.0%) win rate for white (7.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack has a 51.3% (90% CI: 50.7%-52.0%) win rate for white (16K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.1%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack has a 52.0% (90% CI: 51.1%-52.9%) win rate for white (7.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.7%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack has a 54.0% (90% CI: 49.9%-58.1%) win rate for white (394 Lichess games). Draw rate is 9.0%.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack a good opening?

The Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack is statistically favors white with a 51.7% (90% CI: 51.2%-52.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.