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Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense Deferred, Lipnitsky Variation

1.1K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score38.9%Range (90% confident): 36.5% – 41.3%Based on 1.1K games
0%38.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 36.5% – 41.3%
Outcome Distribution
35.3%7.2%57.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
7...Bg4
Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense Deferred, Lipnitsky Variation
Analyzen=1.1K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness93%
Draw Rate7.2%

What is the Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense Deferred, Lipnitsky Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense Deferred, Lipnitsky Variation has a 38.9% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 36.5% and 41.3%), based on 1.1K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 49% → 56%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 49.1% win rate (26 games)
  • 1000-1199: 41.9% win rate (45 games)
  • 1200-1399: 41.3% win rate (116 games)
  • 1400-1599: 35.2% win rate (159 games)
  • 1600-1799: 34.5% win rate (220 games)
  • 1800-1999: 34.4% win rate (270 games)
  • 2000-2199: 31.9% win rate (188 games)
  • 2200-2499: 29.3% win rate (82 games)
  • 2500+: 55.6% win rate (3 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (40%), worst in Rapid (34%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 37.9% win rate (182 games)
  • Blitz: 34.9% win rate (628 games)
  • Rapid: 34.0% win rate (279 games)
  • Classical: 39.5% win rate (20 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199——
2200-2499—
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 56.1% expected score (23 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 46.6% expected score (13 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (23 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 31.0% expected score (9 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 48.1% expected score (25 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 41.4% expected score (68 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 52.1% expected score (23 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 36.3% expected score (24 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 39.0% expected score (89 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 42.0% expected score (42 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 32.3% expected score (38 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 36.8% expected score (127 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 41.3% expected score (50 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 37.3% expected score (34 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 40.0% expected score (139 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 38.7% expected score (87 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 54.4% expected score (10 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 41.8% expected score (29 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 33.7% expected score (106 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 33.5% expected score (53 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 44.6% expected score (17 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 31.0% expected score (51 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 29.3% expected score (13 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Ruy Lopez
51.9%
Variations (5)
Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense
51.2%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense
49.9%
Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation
48.7%
Ruy Lopez: Bird Variation
49.9%
Ruy Lopez: Cozio Defense
49.9%
Analyze Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense Deferred, Lipnitsky Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense Deferred, Lipnitsky Variation win rate?

The Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense Deferred, Lipnitsky Variation has a 57.6% (90% CI: 55.1%-60.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense Deferred, Lipnitsky Variation perform best?

The Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense Deferred, Lipnitsky Variation performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 62.5% win rate for white (188 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense Deferred, Lipnitsky Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (58.1%) outperforms Bullet (58.0%) by 0.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense Deferred, Lipnitsky Variation?

The Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense Deferred, Lipnitsky Variation has a sharpness score of 92.8 (decisive), meaning 92.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense Deferred, Lipnitsky Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense Deferred, Lipnitsky Variation has a 51.5% (90% CI: 43.9%-59.0%) win rate for white, based on 116 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 7.2% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense Deferred, Lipnitsky Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense Deferred, Lipnitsky Variation has a 57.6% (90% CI: 51.2%-64.0%) win rate for white, based on 159 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 7.2% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense Deferred, Lipnitsky Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense Deferred, Lipnitsky Variation has a 60.3% (90% CI: 54.8%-65.6%) win rate for white, based on 220 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense Deferred, Lipnitsky Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense Deferred, Lipnitsky Variation has a 55.1% (90% CI: 50.1%-60.0%) win rate for white, based on 270 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 10.5% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense Deferred, Lipnitsky Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense Deferred, Lipnitsky Variation has a 62.5% (90% CI: 56.7%-68.2%) win rate for white, based on 188 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense Deferred, Lipnitsky Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense Deferred, Lipnitsky Variation has a 58.0% (90% CI: 52.0%-64.0%) win rate for white (182 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense Deferred, Lipnitsky Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense Deferred, Lipnitsky Variation has a 58.1% (90% CI: 54.8%-61.3%) win rate for white (628 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.1%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense Deferred, Lipnitsky Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense Deferred, Lipnitsky Variation has a 57.2% (90% CI: 52.3%-62.0%) win rate for white (279 Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.7%.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense Deferred, Lipnitsky Variation a good opening?

The Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense Deferred, Lipnitsky Variation is statistically favors white with a 57.6% (90% CI: 55.1%-60.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.