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Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Exchange Variation

266K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score46.7%Range (90% confident): 46.6% – 46.9%Based on 266K games
0%46.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 46.6% – 46.9%
Outcome Distribution
44.7%4.0%51.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
4.Bxc6
Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Exchange Variation
Analyzen=266K
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.0%

What is the Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Exchange Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Exchange Variation has a 46.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 46.6% and 46.9%), based on 266K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Traps & Chaos

Complexity: 89.3 · Trap factor: -2.7 · n=266K

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 50% → 46%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 49.6% win rate (5,800 games)
  • 1000-1199: 49.0% win rate (18,521 games)
  • 1200-1399: 46.6% win rate (33,715 games)
  • 1400-1599: 45.4% win rate (49,851 games)
  • 1600-1799: 43.6% win rate (54,736 games)
  • 1800-1999: 42.8% win rate (52,541 games)
  • 2000-2199: 42.9% win rate (33,548 games)
  • 2200-2499: 45.7% win rate (15,502 games)
  • 2500+: 45.8% win rate (1,532 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (47%), worst in Classical (42%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 47.2% win rate (80 games)
  • Bullet: 45.0% win rate (78,456 games)
  • Blitz: 44.4% win rate (141,506 games)
  • Rapid: 45.3% win rate (43,816 games)
  • Classical: 41.9% win rate (1,888 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 49.1% expected score (2,109 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (2,973 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 56.4% expected score (711 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (18 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (5,544 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 51.0% expected score (9,878 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 51.4% expected score (3,060 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 65.6% expected score (21 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 52.8% expected score (17 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 45.6% expected score (8,604 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (18,202 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.5% expected score (6,789 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 54.3% expected score (103 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 41.5% expected score (22 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 46.7% expected score (11,973 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 46.6% expected score (27,092 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 48.9% expected score (10,273 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 44.6% expected score (491 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 45.7% expected score (10 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 46.1% expected score (13,717 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 44.8% expected score (30,115 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 46.4% expected score (10,233 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 44.6% expected score (661 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 46.1% expected score (13,952 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 44.9% expected score (29,865 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 44.3% expected score (8,212 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 40.1% expected score (507 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 86.4% expected score (4 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 46.2% expected score (11,992 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 45.9% expected score (17,513 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 42.8% expected score (3,941 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 42.5% expected score (98 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.3% expected score (9,340 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 50.3% expected score (5,573 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 48.9% expected score (585 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (1,225 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.9% expected score (295 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 72.3% expected score (12 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Ruy Lopez
51.9%
Variations (5)
Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense
55.9%
Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense, Alapin Gambit
53.0%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense
49.9%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Anderssen Variation
48.6%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Berlin Wall
12.2%
Analyze Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Exchange Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Exchange Variation win rate?

The Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Exchange Variation has a 44.7% (90% CI: 44.6%-44.9%) win rate for white, based on 266K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Exchange Variation perform best?

The Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Exchange Variation performs best at 0-999 Elo with a 49.6% win rate for white (5.8K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Exchange Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (45.3%) outperforms UltraBullet (47.2%) by -1.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Exchange Variation?

The Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Exchange Variation has a sharpness score of 96.0 (very decisive), meaning 96.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Exchange Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Exchange Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 48.5%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 5.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Exchange Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Exchange Variation has a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.4%-49.6%) win rate for white, based on 19K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Exchange Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Exchange Variation has a 46.6% (90% CI: 46.2%-47.0%) win rate for white, based on 34K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Exchange Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Exchange Variation has a 45.4% (90% CI: 45.1%-45.8%) win rate for white, based on 50K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Exchange Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Exchange Variation has a 43.6% (90% CI: 43.2%-43.9%) win rate for white, based on 55K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Exchange Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Exchange Variation has a 42.8% (90% CI: 42.5%-43.2%) win rate for white, based on 53K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Exchange Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Exchange Variation has a 42.9% (90% CI: 42.4%-43.3%) win rate for white, based on 34K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Exchange Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Exchange Variation has a 45.7% (90% CI: 45.1%-46.4%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 6.5% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Exchange Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Exchange Variation has a 45.8% (90% CI: 43.7%-47.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 7.9% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Exchange Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Exchange Variation has a 45.0% (90% CI: 44.7%-45.3%) win rate for white (78K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.3%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Exchange Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Exchange Variation has a 44.4% (90% CI: 44.2%-44.6%) win rate for white (142K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Exchange Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Exchange Variation has a 45.3% (90% CI: 44.9%-45.7%) win rate for white (44K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Exchange Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Exchange Variation has a 41.9% (90% CI: 40.0%-43.8%) win rate for white (1.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Exchange Variation a good opening?

The Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Exchange Variation is slightly favors black with a 44.7% (90% CI: 44.6%-44.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 0-999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.