What is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Skipworth Gambit expected score for White?
At all ratings, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Skipworth Gambit has a 66.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 65.7% and 67.1%), based on 13K Lichess games.
13K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Skipworth Gambit has a 66.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 65.7% and 67.1%), based on 13K Lichess games.
Declines with rating: 60% → 55%
Similar across time controls (~66%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | |||
| 1000-1199 | — | ||||
| 1200-1399 | — | ||||
| 1400-1599 | — | ||||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | |||
| 2500+ | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Ruy Lopez: Open, Skipworth Gambit has a 64.9% (90% CI: 64.2%-65.6%) win rate for white, based on 13K rated games from Lichess.
The Ruy Lopez: Open, Skipworth Gambit performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 66.7% win rate for white (2.3K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Blitz (65.4%) outperforms Classical (65.6%) by -0.2%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Ruy Lopez: Open, Skipworth Gambit has a sharpness score of 97.1 (very decisive), meaning 97.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 26 moves.
At 0-999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Skipworth Gambit has a 59.6% (90% CI: 56.5%-62.6%) win rate for white, based on 694 Lichess games. Average game length is 22 moves with a 1.7% draw rate.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Skipworth Gambit has a 64.8% (90% CI: 62.9%-66.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Skipworth Gambit has a 65.3% (90% CI: 63.7%-66.9%) win rate for white, based on 2.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Skipworth Gambit has a 66.4% (90% CI: 64.9%-68.0%) win rate for white, based on 2.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Skipworth Gambit has a 66.7% (90% CI: 65.1%-68.4%) win rate for white, based on 2.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Skipworth Gambit has a 64.2% (90% CI: 62.4%-66.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Skipworth Gambit has a 65.2% (90% CI: 62.5%-67.8%) win rate for white, based on 880 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Skipworth Gambit has a 53.1% (90% CI: 48.7%-57.4%) win rate for white, based on 350 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 12.7% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Skipworth Gambit has a 64.4% (90% CI: 62.5%-66.2%) win rate for white (1.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.9%.
In Blitz games, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Skipworth Gambit has a 65.4% (90% CI: 64.4%-66.4%) win rate for white (6.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.
In Rapid games, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Skipworth Gambit has a 64.3% (90% CI: 63.1%-65.5%) win rate for white (4.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.
In Classical games, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Skipworth Gambit has a 65.6% (90% CI: 60.4%-70.6%) win rate for white (231 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.
The Ruy Lopez: Open, Skipworth Gambit is statistically favors white with a 64.9% (90% CI: 64.2%-65.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.