What is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Richter Variation expected score for White?
At all ratings, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Richter Variation has a 48.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 44.4% and 51.8%), based on 487 Lichess games.
487 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Richter Variation has a 48.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 44.4% and 51.8%), based on 487 Lichess games.
Improves with rating: 64% → 71%
Best in Blitz (46%), worst in Rapid (40%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1000-1199 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1200-1399 | — | — | |||
| 1400-1599 | — | — | |||
| 1600-1799 | — | — | |||
| 1800-1999 | — | — | |||
| 2000-2199 | — | — | |||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | |||
| 2500+ | — | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Ruy Lopez: Open, Richter Variation has a 45.1% (90% CI: 41.4%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 487 rated games from Lichess.
The Ruy Lopez: Open, Richter Variation performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 47.8% win rate for white (123 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Blitz (46.0%) outperforms Rapid (39.8%) by 6.2%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Ruy Lopez: Open, Richter Variation has a sharpness score of 94.2 (decisive), meaning 94.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Richter Variation has a 47.8% (90% CI: 40.5%-55.1%) win rate for white, based on 123 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Richter Variation has a 40.1% (90% CI: 34.2%-46.1%) win rate for white, based on 182 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 6.3% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Richter Variation has a 44.7% (90% CI: 37.8%-51.7%) win rate for white, based on 136 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 9.1% draw rate.
In Blitz games, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Richter Variation has a 46.0% (90% CI: 41.7%-50.3%) win rate for white (363 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.7%.
The Ruy Lopez: Open, Richter Variation is slightly favors black with a 45.1% (90% CI: 41.4%-48.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.