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Analyzer

Ruy Lopez: Open, Knorre Variation

252 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score48.4%Range (90% confident): 43.3% – 53.6%Based on 252 games
0%48.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 43.3% – 53.6%
Outcome Distribution
46.7%3.4%49.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
6.Nc3
Ruy Lopez: Open, Knorre Variation
Analyzen=252
Avg Length30 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.4%

What is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Knorre Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Knorre Variation has a 48.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 43.3% and 53.6%), based on 252 Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 51% → 56%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 51.0% win rate (74 games)
  • 1000-1199: 43.4% win rate (55 games)
  • 1200-1399: 38.9% win rate (46 games)
  • 1400-1599: 39.0% win rate (28 games)
  • 1600-1799: 39.1% win rate (10 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.8% win rate (10 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.4% win rate (14 games)
  • 2200-2499: 70.4% win rate (12 games)
  • 2500+: 55.6% win rate (3 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (65%), worst in Rapid (42%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 48.9% win rate (22 games)
  • Blitz: 48.9% win rate (114 games)
  • Rapid: 42.1% win rate (109 games)
  • Classical: 64.7% win rate (7 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599——
1600-1799——
1800-1999——
2000-2199——
2200-2499——
2500+————

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 73.6% expected score (7 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 48.6% expected score (35 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 51.6% expected score (30 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 44.6% expected score (17 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 47.2% expected score (34 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (16 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 30.7% expected score (27 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 13.7% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 57.5% expected score (12 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 38.9% expected score (12 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 30.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 57.5% expected score (12 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 72.3% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Ruy Lopez
51.9%
Variations (5)
Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense
55.9%
Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense, Alapin Gambit
53.0%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense
49.9%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Anderssen Variation
48.6%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Berlin Wall
12.2%
Analyze Ruy Lopez: Open, Knorre Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Knorre Variation win rate?

The Ruy Lopez: Open, Knorre Variation has a 46.7% (90% CI: 41.6%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 252 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Ruy Lopez: Open, Knorre Variation perform best?

The Ruy Lopez: Open, Knorre Variation performs best at 0-999 Elo with a 51.0% win rate for white (74 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Knorre Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (48.9%) outperforms Rapid (42.1%) by 6.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Knorre Variation?

The Ruy Lopez: Open, Knorre Variation has a sharpness score of 96.6 (very decisive), meaning 96.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Knorre Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Knorre Variation has a 48.9% (90% CI: 41.3%-56.6%) win rate for white (114 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.2%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Knorre Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Knorre Variation has a 42.1% (90% CI: 34.5%-49.9%) win rate for white (109 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Knorre Variation a good opening?

The Ruy Lopez: Open, Knorre Variation is slightly favors black with a 46.7% (90% CI: 41.6%-51.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 0-999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.