What is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Karpov Gambit expected score for White?
Snapshot
At all ratings, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Karpov Gambit has a 58.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.4% and 63.4%), based on 260 Lichess games.
Ruy Lopez: Open, Karpov Gambit
260 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
View As
Play ThisWhite Expected Score58.4%Range (90% confident): 53.4% – 63.4%Based on 260 games
0%58.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.4% – 63.4%
Outcome Distribution
53.3%10.1%36.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
11.Ng5
Ruy Lopez: Open, Karpov Gambit
Analyzen=260
Avg Length38 moves
Sharpness90%
Draw Rate10.1%
Extra Analysis
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
White Win% by Rating
Improves with rating: 14% → 48%
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+
- 1400-1599: 14.3% win rate (2 games)
- 1600-1799: 38.5% win rate (5 games)
- 1800-1999: 60.0% win rate (16 games)
- 2000-2199: 53.5% win rate (76 games)
- 2200-2499: 55.5% win rate (113 games)
- 2500+: 47.5% win rate (48 games)
White Win% by Time Control
Best in Blitz (54%), worst in Classical (20%)
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical
- Bullet: 52.8% win rate (62 games)
- Blitz: 54.0% win rate (179 games)
- Rapid: 48.7% win rate (18 games)
- Classical: 20.0% win rate (1 games)
White% by Rating × Time Control
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1000-1199 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1200-1399 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1400-1599 | — | — | — | ||
| 1600-1799 | — | — | |||
| 1800-1999 | — | — | |||
| 2000-2199 | — | — | |||
| 2200-2499 | — | ||||
| 2500+ | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 58.0% expected score (11 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 57.5% expected score (12 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 54.8% expected score (62 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 64.3% expected score (2 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 61.9% expected score (28 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 57.3% expected score (74 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 71.8% expected score (10 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.4% expected score (17 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 64.8% expected score (29 games)
- 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
Related Openings
Parent
Ruy Lopez51.9%
Analyze Ruy Lopez: Open, Karpov Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Karpov Gambit win rate?
The Ruy Lopez: Open, Karpov Gambit has a 53.3% (90% CI: 48.3%-58.4%) win rate for white, based on 260 rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the Ruy Lopez: Open, Karpov Gambit perform best?
The Ruy Lopez: Open, Karpov Gambit performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 55.5% win rate for white (113 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Karpov Gambit better in blitz or rapid?
Blitz (54.0%) outperforms Bullet (52.8%) by 1.2%. Choose your time control wisely.
How sharp is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Karpov Gambit?
The Ruy Lopez: Open, Karpov Gambit has a sharpness score of 89.9 (moderately decisive), meaning 89.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 38 moves.
What is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Karpov Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Karpov Gambit has a 55.5% (90% CI: 47.8%-63.0%) win rate for white, based on 113 Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 8.3% draw rate.
What is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Karpov Gambit win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz games, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Karpov Gambit has a 54.0% (90% CI: 47.9%-60.1%) win rate for white (179 Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.0%.
Is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Karpov Gambit a good opening?
The Ruy Lopez: Open, Karpov Gambit is statistically favors white with a 53.3% (90% CI: 48.3%-58.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.