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Ruy Lopez: Open, Dilworth Variation

3.1K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Black Expected Score58.6%Range (90% confident): 57.1% – 60.0%Based on 3.1K games
0%58.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 57.1% – 60.0%
Outcome Distribution
52.4%12.3%35.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
11...Nxf2
Ruy Lopez: Open, Dilworth Variation
Analyzen=3.1K
Avg Length40 moves
Sharpness88%
Draw Rate12.3%

What is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Dilworth Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Dilworth Variation has a 58.6% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 57.1% and 60.0%), based on 3.1K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 20% → 33%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 20.0% win rate (1 games)
  • 1000-1199: 11.1% win rate (3 games)
  • 1200-1399: 14.3% win rate (2 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.4% win rate (8 games)
  • 1600-1799: 71.4% win rate (44 games)
  • 1800-1999: 59.9% win rate (203 games)
  • 2000-2199: 60.2% win rate (902 games)
  • 2200-2499: 55.2% win rate (1,274 games)
  • 2500+: 32.5% win rate (641 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Blitz (54%), worst in Classical (35%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 51.0% win rate (574 games)
  • Blitz: 54.2% win rate (2,049 games)
  • Rapid: 46.9% win rate (415 games)
  • Classical: 34.9% win rate (40 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999————
1000-1199———
1200-1399———
1400-1599——
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 83.4% expected score (9 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 73.5% expected score (24 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 58.7% expected score (10 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 56.2% expected score (31 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 63.6% expected score (146 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 59.8% expected score (24 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 64.3% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 72.4% expected score (88 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 62.3% expected score (705 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 57.9% expected score (94 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 59.1% expected score (15 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 65.4% expected score (203 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.8% expected score (873 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 62.1% expected score (192 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 43.3% expected score (6 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (242 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 54.2% expected score (294 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 41.9% expected score (91 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 46.8% expected score (14 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Ruy Lopez
51.9%
Variations (5)
Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense
51.2%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense
49.9%
Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation
48.7%
Ruy Lopez: Bird Variation
49.9%
Ruy Lopez: Cozio Defense
49.9%
Analyze Ruy Lopez: Open, Dilworth Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Dilworth Variation win rate?

The Ruy Lopez: Open, Dilworth Variation has a 35.3% (90% CI: 33.9%-36.7%) win rate for white, based on 3.1K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Ruy Lopez: Open, Dilworth Variation perform best?

The Ruy Lopez: Open, Dilworth Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 38.7% win rate for white (1.3K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Dilworth Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (37.0%) outperforms Bullet (30.0%) by 7.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Dilworth Variation?

The Ruy Lopez: Open, Dilworth Variation has a sharpness score of 87.7 (moderately decisive), meaning 87.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 40 moves.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Dilworth Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Dilworth Variation has a 35.5% (90% CI: 30.0%-41.0%) win rate for white, based on 203 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Dilworth Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Dilworth Variation has a 34.6% (90% CI: 32.0%-37.2%) win rate for white, based on 902 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Dilworth Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Dilworth Variation has a 38.7% (90% CI: 36.5%-40.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 6.2% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Dilworth Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Dilworth Variation has a 29.8% (90% CI: 26.9%-32.8%) win rate for white, based on 641 Lichess games. Average game length is 59 moves with a 37.7% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Dilworth Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Dilworth Variation has a 30.0% (90% CI: 26.9%-33.2%) win rate for white (574 Lichess games). Draw rate is 19.0%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Dilworth Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Dilworth Variation has a 37.0% (90% CI: 35.2%-38.8%) win rate for white (2.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.9%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Dilworth Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Dilworth Variation has a 34.9% (90% CI: 31.1%-38.8%) win rate for white (415 Lichess games). Draw rate is 18.1%.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Dilworth Variation a good opening?

The Ruy Lopez: Open, Dilworth Variation is slightly favors black with a 35.3% (90% CI: 33.9%-36.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.