TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Ruy Lopez: Open, Classical Defense, Main Line

1.5K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score52.0%Range (90% confident): 49.9% – 54.1%Based on 1.5K games
0%52.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 49.9% – 54.1%
Outcome Distribution
47.1%9.8%43.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
10.c3
Ruy Lopez: Open, Classical Defense, Main Line
Analyzen=1.5K
Avg Length40 moves
Sharpness90%
Draw Rate9.8%

What is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Classical Defense, Main Line expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Classical Defense, Main Line has a 52.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 49.9% and 54.1%), based on 1.5K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 20% → 43%

0
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 20.0% win rate (1 games)
  • 1200-1399: 27.3% win rate (4 games)
  • 1400-1599: 30.4% win rate (10 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.6% win rate (71 games)
  • 1800-1999: 54.1% win rate (284 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.8% win rate (443 games)
  • 2200-2499: 46.1% win rate (537 games)
  • 2500+: 43.0% win rate (181 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Rapid (51%), worst in Blitz (46%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 47.9% win rate (246 games)
  • Blitz: 46.2% win rate (1,091 games)
  • Rapid: 51.0% win rate (180 games)
  • Classical: 48.4% win rate (14 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999————
1000-1199—————
1200-1399———
1400-1599——
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 40.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (13 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 46.8% expected score (45 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 64.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 59.1% expected score (4 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 68.7% expected score (36 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 56.1% expected score (211 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 59.0% expected score (32 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 34.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 47.6% expected score (40 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.2% expected score (336 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 60.7% expected score (64 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 47.6% expected score (80 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (396 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 54.9% expected score (60 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (70 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 52.0% expected score (97 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (13 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Ruy Lopez
51.9%
Variations (5)
Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense
55.9%
Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense, Alapin Gambit
53.0%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense
49.9%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Anderssen Variation
48.6%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Berlin Wall
12.2%
Analyze Ruy Lopez: Open, Classical Defense, Main Line PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Classical Defense, Main Line win rate?

The Ruy Lopez: Open, Classical Defense, Main Line has a 47.1% (90% CI: 45.0%-49.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Ruy Lopez: Open, Classical Defense, Main Line perform best?

The Ruy Lopez: Open, Classical Defense, Main Line performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 54.1% win rate for white (284 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Classical Defense, Main Line better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (51.0%) outperforms Bullet (47.9%) by 3.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Classical Defense, Main Line?

The Ruy Lopez: Open, Classical Defense, Main Line has a sharpness score of 90.2 (decisive), meaning 90.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 40 moves.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Classical Defense, Main Line win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Classical Defense, Main Line has a 54.1% (90% CI: 49.3%-58.9%) win rate for white, based on 284 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 7.2% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Classical Defense, Main Line win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Classical Defense, Main Line has a 45.8% (90% CI: 41.9%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 443 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 8.7% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Classical Defense, Main Line win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Classical Defense, Main Line has a 46.1% (90% CI: 42.6%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 537 Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 9.7% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Classical Defense, Main Line win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Classical Defense, Main Line has a 43.0% (90% CI: 37.0%-49.1%) win rate for white, based on 181 Lichess games. Average game length is 50 moves with a 18.9% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Classical Defense, Main Line win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Classical Defense, Main Line has a 47.9% (90% CI: 42.7%-53.1%) win rate for white (246 Lichess games). Draw rate is 9.1%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Classical Defense, Main Line win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Classical Defense, Main Line has a 46.2% (90% CI: 43.7%-48.7%) win rate for white (1.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 9.5%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Classical Defense, Main Line win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Classical Defense, Main Line has a 51.0% (90% CI: 44.9%-57.0%) win rate for white (180 Lichess games). Draw rate is 12.9%.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Classical Defense, Main Line a good opening?

The Ruy Lopez: Open, Classical Defense, Main Line is statistically balanced with a 47.1% (90% CI: 45.0%-49.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.