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Ruy Lopez: Open, Berlin Variation

747 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score55.3%Range (90% confident): 52.3% – 58.3%Based on 747 games
0%55.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.3% – 58.3%
Outcome Distribution
52.8%4.9%42.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
9...Nc5
Ruy Lopez: Open, Berlin Variation
Analyzen=747
Avg Length38 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.9%

What is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Berlin Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Berlin Variation has a 55.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.3% and 58.3%), based on 747 Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 43% → 59%

1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 1200-1399: 42.9% win rate (2 games)
  • 1400-1599: 57.9% win rate (8 games)
  • 1600-1799: 60.0% win rate (16 games)
  • 1800-1999: 53.2% win rate (99 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.5% win rate (233 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.8% win rate (310 games)
  • 2500+: 59.0% win rate (79 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (64%), worst in Blitz (51%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 54.9% win rate (156 games)
  • Blitz: 51.1% win rate (506 games)
  • Rapid: 57.6% win rate (81 games)
  • Classical: 63.6% win rate (4 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—————
1000-1199—————
1200-1399————
1400-1599———
1600-1799——
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 58.5% expected score (22 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.5% expected score (59 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 52.8% expected score (17 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 47.5% expected score (37 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.4% expected score (175 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 57.7% expected score (18 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 61.8% expected score (54 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (223 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 61.6% expected score (33 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 58.5% expected score (34 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 61.7% expected score (37 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 76.3% expected score (8 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Ruy Lopez
51.9%
Variations (5)
Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense
55.9%
Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense, Alapin Gambit
53.0%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense
49.9%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Anderssen Variation
48.6%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Berlin Wall
12.2%
Analyze Ruy Lopez: Open, Berlin Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Berlin Variation win rate?

The Ruy Lopez: Open, Berlin Variation has a 52.8% (90% CI: 49.8%-55.8%) win rate for white, based on 747 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Ruy Lopez: Open, Berlin Variation perform best?

The Ruy Lopez: Open, Berlin Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 59.0% win rate for white (79 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Berlin Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (57.6%) outperforms Blitz (51.1%) by 6.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Berlin Variation?

The Ruy Lopez: Open, Berlin Variation has a sharpness score of 95.1 (very decisive), meaning 95.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 38 moves.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Berlin Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Berlin Variation has a 50.5% (90% CI: 45.2%-55.9%) win rate for white, based on 233 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Berlin Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Berlin Variation has a 51.8% (90% CI: 47.2%-56.5%) win rate for white, based on 310 Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Berlin Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Berlin Variation has a 54.9% (90% CI: 48.4%-61.4%) win rate for white (156 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Berlin Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Ruy Lopez: Open, Berlin Variation has a 51.1% (90% CI: 47.5%-54.8%) win rate for white (506 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.6%.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Open, Berlin Variation a good opening?

The Ruy Lopez: Open, Berlin Variation is statistically favors white with a 52.8% (90% CI: 49.8%-55.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.