Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wormald Attack

61K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score54.5%Range (90% confident): 54.2% – 54.8%Based on 61K games
0%54.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 54.2% – 54.8%
Outcome Distribution
52.2%4.5%43.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.Qe2
Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wormald Attack
Analyzen=61K
Avg Length37 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.5%

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wormald Attack expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wormald Attack has a 54.5% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 54.2% and 54.8%), based on 61K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 49% → 51%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 48.9% win rate (752 games)
  • 1000-1199: 51.8% win rate (1,374 games)
  • 1200-1399: 52.3% win rate (2,328 games)
  • 1400-1599: 52.1% win rate (3,101 games)
  • 1600-1799: 52.3% win rate (5,210 games)
  • 1800-1999: 52.7% win rate (11,697 games)
  • 2000-2199: 52.7% win rate (16,711 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.7% win rate (17,294 games)
  • 2500+: 51.1% win rate (2,242 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (53%), worst in UltraBullet (20%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 20.0% win rate (1 games)
  • Bullet: 52.8% win rate (12,788 games)
  • Blitz: 52.3% win rate (39,018 games)
  • Rapid: 51.2% win rate (8,351 games)
  • Classical: 48.8% win rate (551 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (131 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 53.6% expected score (373 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 45.6% expected score (245 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 54.3% expected score (208 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 52.0% expected score (721 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 56.1% expected score (429 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 24.3% expected score (16 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 54.0% expected score (492 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 55.6% expected score (1,000 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 52.5% expected score (803 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 55.8% expected score (33 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 54.7% expected score (538 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (1,602 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 53.3% expected score (873 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 51.1% expected score (88 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 55.4% expected score (1,140 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 54.5% expected score (2,961 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 51.4% expected score (1,017 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 52.1% expected score (92 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 55.6% expected score (1,773 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 55.0% expected score (7,819 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 52.8% expected score (1,951 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.4% expected score (154 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 55.9% expected score (2,614 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 54.6% expected score (12,033 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 55.4% expected score (1,927 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 58.0% expected score (137 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (4,537 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.7% expected score (11,673 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 57.8% expected score (1,056 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 51.7% expected score (28 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 52.5% expected score (1,355 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 58.3% expected score (836 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 52.9% expected score (50 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Analyze Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wormald Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wormald Attack win rate?

The Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wormald Attack has a 52.2% (90% CI: 51.9%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 61K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wormald Attack perform best?

The Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wormald Attack performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 52.7% win rate for white (17K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wormald Attack better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (52.8%) outperforms Classical (48.8%) by 4.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wormald Attack?

The Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wormald Attack has a sharpness score of 95.5 (very decisive), meaning 95.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wormald Attack win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wormald Attack has a 48.9% (90% CI: 45.9%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 752 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wormald Attack win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wormald Attack has a 51.8% (90% CI: 49.6%-54.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wormald Attack win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wormald Attack has a 52.3% (90% CI: 50.6%-54.0%) win rate for white, based on 2.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wormald Attack win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wormald Attack has a 52.1% (90% CI: 50.6%-53.5%) win rate for white, based on 3.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wormald Attack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wormald Attack has a 52.3% (90% CI: 51.2%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 5.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wormald Attack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wormald Attack has a 52.7% (90% CI: 51.9%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 12K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wormald Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wormald Attack has a 52.7% (90% CI: 52.1%-53.3%) win rate for white, based on 17K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wormald Attack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wormald Attack has a 51.7% (90% CI: 51.1%-52.3%) win rate for white, based on 17K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.6% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wormald Attack win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wormald Attack has a 51.1% (90% CI: 49.4%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 2.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 7.1% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wormald Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wormald Attack has a 52.8% (90% CI: 52.1%-53.6%) win rate for white (13K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wormald Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wormald Attack has a 52.3% (90% CI: 51.9%-52.7%) win rate for white (39K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wormald Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wormald Attack has a 51.2% (90% CI: 50.3%-52.1%) win rate for white (8.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.3%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wormald Attack win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wormald Attack has a 48.8% (90% CI: 45.3%-52.3%) win rate for white (551 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.1%.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wormald Attack a good opening?

The Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wormald Attack is statistically favors white with a 52.2% (90% CI: 51.9%-52.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.