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Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wing Attack

7.3K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score54.8%Range (90% confident): 53.9% – 55.8%Based on 7.3K games
0%54.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.9% – 55.8%
Outcome Distribution
52.6%4.3%43.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
7.a4
Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wing Attack
Analyzen=7.3K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.3%

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wing Attack expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wing Attack has a 54.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.9% and 55.8%), based on 7.3K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 47% → 60%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 47.2% win rate (25 games)
  • 1000-1199: 52.4% win rate (51 games)
  • 1200-1399: 54.4% win rate (163 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.4% win rate (317 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.4% win rate (845 games)
  • 1800-1999: 51.3% win rate (1,637 games)
  • 2000-2199: 52.3% win rate (2,226 games)
  • 2200-2499: 54.0% win rate (1,581 games)
  • 2500+: 59.5% win rate (441 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (71%), worst in Blitz (52%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 71.4% win rate (2 games)
  • Bullet: 53.2% win rate (1,837 games)
  • Blitz: 52.2% win rate (4,457 games)
  • Rapid: 53.3% win rate (942 games)
  • Classical: 57.6% win rate (48 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199—
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 39.7% expected score (13 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 60.6% expected score (22 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 48.2% expected score (25 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 55.4% expected score (64 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 53.2% expected score (77 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 60.6% expected score (22 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 56.2% expected score (96 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.2% expected score (161 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 40.6% expected score (57 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.2% expected score (170 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.0% expected score (547 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.7% expected score (121 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 67.7% expected score (7 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (273 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.2% expected score (1,105 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 58.2% expected score (243 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 55.7% expected score (16 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (364 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 54.8% expected score (1,525 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 57.0% expected score (321 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 52.9% expected score (16 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 55.9% expected score (544 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 57.1% expected score (877 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 56.4% expected score (156 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 61.1% expected score (291 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 61.6% expected score (133 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 79.8% expected score (17 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Ruy Lopez
51.9%
Variations (5)
Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense
55.9%
Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense, Alapin Gambit
53.0%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense
49.9%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Anderssen Variation
48.6%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Berlin Wall
12.2%
Analyze Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wing Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wing Attack win rate?

The Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wing Attack has a 52.6% (90% CI: 51.7%-53.6%) win rate for white, based on 7.3K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wing Attack perform best?

The Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wing Attack performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 59.5% win rate for white (441 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wing Attack better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (53.2%) outperforms Rapid (53.3%) by -0.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wing Attack?

The Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wing Attack has a sharpness score of 95.7 (very decisive), meaning 95.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wing Attack win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wing Attack has a 54.4% (90% CI: 48.0%-60.7%) win rate for white, based on 163 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 1.5% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wing Attack win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wing Attack has a 50.4% (90% CI: 45.8%-55.0%) win rate for white, based on 317 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wing Attack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wing Attack has a 50.4% (90% CI: 47.6%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 845 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wing Attack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wing Attack has a 51.3% (90% CI: 49.3%-53.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wing Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wing Attack has a 52.3% (90% CI: 50.5%-54.0%) win rate for white, based on 2.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wing Attack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wing Attack has a 54.0% (90% CI: 51.9%-56.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wing Attack win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wing Attack has a 59.5% (90% CI: 55.7%-63.4%) win rate for white, based on 441 Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wing Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wing Attack has a 53.2% (90% CI: 51.3%-55.1%) win rate for white (1.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.5%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wing Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wing Attack has a 52.2% (90% CI: 50.9%-53.4%) win rate for white (4.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wing Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wing Attack has a 53.3% (90% CI: 50.6%-55.9%) win rate for white (942 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.4%.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wing Attack a good opening?

The Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Wing Attack is statistically favors white with a 52.6% (90% CI: 51.7%-53.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.