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Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Schliemann Defense Deferred

32K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score50.1%Range (90% confident): 49.7% – 50.6%Based on 32K games
0%50.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 49.7% – 50.6%
Outcome Distribution
47.6%5.0%47.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
4...f5
Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Schliemann Defense Deferred
Analyzen=32K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate5.0%

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Schliemann Defense Deferred expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Schliemann Defense Deferred has a 50.1% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 49.7% and 50.6%), based on 32K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 37% → 46%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 36.8% win rate (179 games)
  • 1000-1199: 42.6% win rate (434 games)
  • 1200-1399: 46.1% win rate (1,000 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.7% win rate (1,829 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.9% win rate (3,562 games)
  • 1800-1999: 48.2% win rate (7,252 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.8% win rate (8,637 games)
  • 2200-2499: 47.1% win rate (6,862 games)
  • 2500+: 46.0% win rate (2,127 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (49%), worst in Classical (37%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 48.8% win rate (5,142 games)
  • Blitz: 47.9% win rate (21,444 games)
  • Rapid: 45.6% win rate (5,043 games)
  • Classical: 37.1% win rate (253 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 39.5% expected score (46 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 34.5% expected score (95 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 51.3% expected score (37 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 44.6% expected score (108 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 46.7% expected score (243 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 32.6% expected score (82 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 48.4% expected score (210 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 46.9% expected score (531 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 47.3% expected score (253 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 57.2% expected score (333 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (1,010 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 46.2% expected score (471 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 47.0% expected score (15 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 47.4% expected score (643 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.4% expected score (2,158 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 47.7% expected score (708 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 42.7% expected score (53 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.4% expected score (1,264 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.5% expected score (4,703 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 47.5% expected score (1,192 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 42.1% expected score (93 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (848 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.1% expected score (6,138 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.6% expected score (1,583 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 38.5% expected score (68 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.9% expected score (898 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 50.5% expected score (5,255 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 48.2% expected score (693 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (16 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 53.9% expected score (792 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (1,311 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 42.2% expected score (24 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Ruy Lopez
51.9%
Variations (5)
Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense
51.2%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense
49.9%
Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation
48.7%
Ruy Lopez: Bird Variation
49.9%
Ruy Lopez: Cozio Defense
49.9%
Continuations (1)
Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Schliemann Defense Deferred, Jaenisch Gambit Deferred
46.9%
Analyze Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Schliemann Defense Deferred PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Schliemann Defense Deferred win rate?

The Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Schliemann Defense Deferred has a 47.4% (90% CI: 46.9%-47.9%) win rate for white, based on 32K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Schliemann Defense Deferred perform best?

The Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Schliemann Defense Deferred performs best at 0-999 Elo with a 59.0% win rate for white (179 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Schliemann Defense Deferred better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (54.8%) outperforms Bullet (47.4%) by 7.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Schliemann Defense Deferred?

The Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Schliemann Defense Deferred has a sharpness score of 95.0 (very decisive), meaning 95.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Schliemann Defense Deferred win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Schliemann Defense Deferred has a 59.0% (90% CI: 52.9%-65.0%) win rate for white, based on 179 Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Schliemann Defense Deferred win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Schliemann Defense Deferred has a 55.5% (90% CI: 51.5%-59.4%) win rate for white, based on 434 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Schliemann Defense Deferred win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Schliemann Defense Deferred has a 51.3% (90% CI: 48.7%-53.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Schliemann Defense Deferred win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Schliemann Defense Deferred has a 49.5% (90% CI: 47.6%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Schliemann Defense Deferred win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Schliemann Defense Deferred has a 49.7% (90% CI: 48.3%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 3.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Schliemann Defense Deferred win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Schliemann Defense Deferred has a 47.6% (90% CI: 46.6%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 7.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Schliemann Defense Deferred win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Schliemann Defense Deferred has a 45.9% (90% CI: 45.0%-46.8%) win rate for white, based on 8.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Schliemann Defense Deferred win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Schliemann Defense Deferred has a 46.4% (90% CI: 45.4%-47.3%) win rate for white, based on 6.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 6.5% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Schliemann Defense Deferred win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Schliemann Defense Deferred has a 46.1% (90% CI: 44.3%-47.8%) win rate for white, based on 2.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 7.9% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Schliemann Defense Deferred win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Schliemann Defense Deferred has a 47.4% (90% CI: 46.3%-48.6%) win rate for white (5.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Schliemann Defense Deferred win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Schliemann Defense Deferred has a 46.9% (90% CI: 46.3%-47.4%) win rate for white (21K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Schliemann Defense Deferred win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Schliemann Defense Deferred has a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.0%-50.4%) win rate for white (5.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Schliemann Defense Deferred win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Schliemann Defense Deferred has a 54.8% (90% CI: 49.7%-59.9%) win rate for white (253 Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.1%.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Schliemann Defense Deferred a good opening?

The Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Schliemann Defense Deferred is statistically balanced with a 47.4% (90% CI: 46.9%-47.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 0-999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.