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Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Duras Variation

3.0K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score51.3%Range (90% confident): 49.8% – 52.8%Based on 3.0K games
0%51.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 49.8% – 52.8%
Outcome Distribution
48.1%6.3%45.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
6.c4
Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Duras Variation
Analyzen=3.0K
Avg Length38 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate6.3%

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Duras Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Duras Variation has a 51.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 49.8% and 52.8%), based on 3.0K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~44%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 43.5% win rate (64 games)
  • 1000-1199: 46.6% win rate (167 games)
  • 1200-1399: 50.6% win rate (312 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.9% win rate (375 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.4% win rate (365 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.2% win rate (337 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.1% win rate (277 games)
  • 2200-2499: 46.6% win rate (760 games)
  • 2500+: 45.0% win rate (342 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Rapid (49%), worst in Classical (30%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 48.7% win rate (523 games)
  • Blitz: 47.9% win rate (1,953 games)
  • Rapid: 49.0% win rate (493 games)
  • Classical: 30.2% win rate (30 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 47.6% expected score (19 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 53.0% expected score (32 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 25.9% expected score (13 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 30.6% expected score (32 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (101 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 55.7% expected score (34 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 44.2% expected score (68 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.1% expected score (190 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 59.2% expected score (53 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 55.2% expected score (75 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.5% expected score (210 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 53.0% expected score (82 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 34.2% expected score (8 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.0% expected score (73 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 57.8% expected score (210 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.1% expected score (79 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 54.2% expected score (46 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.6% expected score (188 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 51.1% expected score (88 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 37.9% expected score (15 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 45.2% expected score (51 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.5% expected score (164 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.4% expected score (60 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 60.7% expected score (106 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 49.0% expected score (572 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 54.3% expected score (81 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (53 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (286 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 38.9% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Ruy Lopez
51.9%
Variations (5)
Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense
55.9%
Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense, Alapin Gambit
53.0%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense
49.9%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Anderssen Variation
48.6%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Berlin Wall
12.2%
Analyze Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Duras Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Duras Variation win rate?

The Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Duras Variation has a 48.1% (90% CI: 46.6%-49.6%) win rate for white, based on 3.0K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Duras Variation perform best?

The Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Duras Variation performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 51.4% win rate for white (365 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Duras Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (47.9%) outperforms Bullet (48.7%) by -0.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Duras Variation?

The Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Duras Variation has a sharpness score of 93.7 (decisive), meaning 93.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 38 moves.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Duras Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Duras Variation has a 46.6% (90% CI: 40.3%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 167 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Duras Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Duras Variation has a 50.6% (90% CI: 45.9%-55.2%) win rate for white, based on 312 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Duras Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Duras Variation has a 50.9% (90% CI: 46.6%-55.1%) win rate for white, based on 375 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Duras Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Duras Variation has a 51.4% (90% CI: 47.1%-55.7%) win rate for white, based on 365 Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.9% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Duras Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Duras Variation has a 49.2% (90% CI: 44.7%-53.7%) win rate for white, based on 337 Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Duras Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Duras Variation has a 45.1% (90% CI: 40.2%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 277 Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 8.4% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Duras Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Duras Variation has a 46.6% (90% CI: 43.6%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 760 Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 9.4% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Duras Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Duras Variation has a 45.0% (90% CI: 40.6%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 342 Lichess games. Average game length is 45 moves with a 10.6% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Duras Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Duras Variation has a 48.7% (90% CI: 45.1%-52.3%) win rate for white (523 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Duras Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Duras Variation has a 47.9% (90% CI: 46.1%-49.8%) win rate for white (2.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.9%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Duras Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Duras Variation has a 49.0% (90% CI: 45.3%-52.7%) win rate for white (493 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.6%.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Duras Variation a good opening?

The Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Duras Variation is statistically balanced with a 48.1% (90% CI: 46.6%-49.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.