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Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Anderssen Variation

814K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score53.6%Range (90% confident): 53.5% – 53.7%Based on 814K games
0%53.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.5% – 53.7%
Outcome Distribution
51.2%4.7%44.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.d3
Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Anderssen Variation
Analyzen=814K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.7%

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Anderssen Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Anderssen Variation has a 53.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.5% and 53.7%), based on 814K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~51%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 50.8% win rate (13,043 games)
  • 1000-1199: 52.3% win rate (38,039 games)
  • 1200-1399: 52.2% win rate (70,933 games)
  • 1400-1599: 51.6% win rate (103,959 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.4% win rate (134,495 games)
  • 1800-1999: 51.1% win rate (173,835 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.7% win rate (162,049 games)
  • 2200-2499: 50.7% win rate (101,256 games)
  • 2500+: 50.3% win rate (16,826 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (52%), worst in UltraBullet (38%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 37.9% win rate (13 games)
  • Bullet: 52.4% win rate (152,986 games)
  • Blitz: 51.2% win rate (501,387 games)
  • Rapid: 50.3% win rate (151,955 games)
  • Classical: 48.0% win rate (8,094 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799—
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (4,007 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 52.3% expected score (6,323 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 52.3% expected score (2,679 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 63.9% expected score (31 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 53.6% expected score (11,392 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 54.1% expected score (20,363 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 53.5% expected score (6,179 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 46.1% expected score (101 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.2% expected score (15,351 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 54.1% expected score (40,212 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 54.1% expected score (14,938 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 51.3% expected score (431 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.7% expected score (19,773 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.8% expected score (58,006 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 52.9% expected score (24,536 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 51.1% expected score (1,641 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 55.0% expected score (21,997 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.4% expected score (79,120 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 52.6% expected score (30,949 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.5% expected score (2,429 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 54.1% expected score (26,119 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.7% expected score (111,351 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 52.3% expected score (34,180 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.9% expected score (2,183 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (23,505 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (110,718 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 53.2% expected score (26,838 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 54.4% expected score (988 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.8% expected score (22,857 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.4% expected score (66,917 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 54.8% expected score (11,203 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 58.2% expected score (279 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.0% expected score (7,985 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.1% expected score (8,377 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 59.6% expected score (453 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 62.0% expected score (11 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Ruy Lopez
51.9%
Variations (5)
Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense
55.9%
Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense, Alapin Gambit
53.0%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense
49.9%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Anderssen Variation
48.6%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Berlin Wall
12.2%
Analyze Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Anderssen Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Anderssen Variation win rate?

The Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Anderssen Variation has a 51.2% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 814K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Anderssen Variation perform best?

The Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Anderssen Variation performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 52.3% win rate for white (38K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Anderssen Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (52.4%) outperforms Classical (48.0%) by 4.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Anderssen Variation?

The Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Anderssen Variation has a sharpness score of 95.3 (very decisive), meaning 95.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Anderssen Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Anderssen Variation has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.1%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Anderssen Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Anderssen Variation has a 52.3% (90% CI: 51.9%-52.8%) win rate for white, based on 38K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Anderssen Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Anderssen Variation has a 52.2% (90% CI: 51.9%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 71K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Anderssen Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Anderssen Variation has a 51.6% (90% CI: 51.4%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 104K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Anderssen Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Anderssen Variation has a 51.4% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 134K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Anderssen Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Anderssen Variation has a 51.1% (90% CI: 50.9%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 174K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Anderssen Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Anderssen Variation has a 50.7% (90% CI: 50.5%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 162K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Anderssen Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Anderssen Variation has a 50.7% (90% CI: 50.4%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 101K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 6.3% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Anderssen Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Anderssen Variation has a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.6%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 17K Lichess games. Average game length is 44 moves with a 9.9% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Anderssen Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Anderssen Variation has a 52.4% (90% CI: 52.2%-52.6%) win rate for white (153K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Anderssen Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Anderssen Variation has a 51.2% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.3%) win rate for white (501K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.9%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Anderssen Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Anderssen Variation has a 50.3% (90% CI: 50.1%-50.5%) win rate for white (152K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.5%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Anderssen Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Anderssen Variation has a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.0%-48.9%) win rate for white (8.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.0%.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Anderssen Variation a good opening?

The Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Anderssen Variation is statistically favors white with a 51.2% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.