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Analyzer

Ruy Lopez: Marshall Attack, Steiner Variation

13K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score33.5%Range (90% confident): 32.8% – 34.2%Based on 13K games
0%33.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 32.8% – 34.2%
Outcome Distribution
31.8%3.4%64.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
9...e4
Ruy Lopez: Marshall Attack, Steiner Variation
Analyzen=13K
Avg Length30 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.4%

What is the Ruy Lopez: Marshall Attack, Steiner Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Ruy Lopez: Marshall Attack, Steiner Variation has a 33.5% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 32.8% and 34.2%), based on 13K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 60% → 44%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 60.0% win rate (1 games)
  • 1000-1199: 60.0% win rate (6 games)
  • 1200-1399: 24.0% win rate (59 games)
  • 1400-1599: 30.0% win rate (303 games)
  • 1600-1799: 28.3% win rate (1,298 games)
  • 1800-1999: 28.6% win rate (3,663 games)
  • 2000-2199: 32.4% win rate (4,822 games)
  • 2200-2499: 36.6% win rate (2,592 games)
  • 2500+: 44.3% win rate (142 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (40%), worst in Rapid (29%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 33.2% win rate (3,135 games)
  • Blitz: 31.7% win rate (8,161 games)
  • Rapid: 29.4% win rate (1,550 games)
  • Classical: 39.8% win rate (40 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999————
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 31.4% expected score (20 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 21.5% expected score (37 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 37.1% expected score (76 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 28.2% expected score (207 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 40.3% expected score (19 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 29.4% expected score (384 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 30.1% expected score (749 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 27.0% expected score (161 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 32.5% expected score (711 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 29.5% expected score (2,372 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 28.6% expected score (563 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 52.7% expected score (17 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 33.7% expected score (988 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 34.7% expected score (3,268 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 32.1% expected score (548 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 37.2% expected score (18 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 36.9% expected score (852 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 39.7% expected score (1,490 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 41.9% expected score (250 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 41.6% expected score (100 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.7% expected score (36 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 63.4% expected score (6 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Ruy Lopez
51.9%
Variations (5)
Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense
55.9%
Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense, Alapin Gambit
53.0%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense
49.9%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Anderssen Variation
48.6%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Berlin Wall
12.2%
Analyze Ruy Lopez: Marshall Attack, Steiner Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Ruy Lopez: Marshall Attack, Steiner Variation win rate?

The Ruy Lopez: Marshall Attack, Steiner Variation has a 31.8% (90% CI: 31.1%-32.5%) win rate for white, based on 13K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Ruy Lopez: Marshall Attack, Steiner Variation perform best?

The Ruy Lopez: Marshall Attack, Steiner Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 44.3% win rate for white (142 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Marshall Attack, Steiner Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (33.2%) outperforms Rapid (29.4%) by 3.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Ruy Lopez: Marshall Attack, Steiner Variation?

The Ruy Lopez: Marshall Attack, Steiner Variation has a sharpness score of 96.6 (very decisive), meaning 96.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Marshall Attack, Steiner Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Marshall Attack, Steiner Variation has a 30.0% (90% CI: 25.8%-34.4%) win rate for white, based on 303 Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Marshall Attack, Steiner Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Marshall Attack, Steiner Variation has a 28.3% (90% CI: 26.2%-30.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Marshall Attack, Steiner Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Marshall Attack, Steiner Variation has a 28.6% (90% CI: 27.4%-29.9%) win rate for white, based on 3.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Marshall Attack, Steiner Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Marshall Attack, Steiner Variation has a 32.4% (90% CI: 31.3%-33.5%) win rate for white, based on 4.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Marshall Attack, Steiner Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Marshall Attack, Steiner Variation has a 36.6% (90% CI: 35.1%-38.2%) win rate for white, based on 2.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Marshall Attack, Steiner Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Marshall Attack, Steiner Variation has a 44.3% (90% CI: 37.5%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 142 Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Marshall Attack, Steiner Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Ruy Lopez: Marshall Attack, Steiner Variation has a 33.2% (90% CI: 31.9%-34.6%) win rate for white (3.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.7%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Marshall Attack, Steiner Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Ruy Lopez: Marshall Attack, Steiner Variation has a 31.7% (90% CI: 30.9%-32.5%) win rate for white (8.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Marshall Attack, Steiner Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Ruy Lopez: Marshall Attack, Steiner Variation has a 29.4% (90% CI: 27.5%-31.3%) win rate for white (1.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.3%.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Marshall Attack, Steiner Variation a good opening?

The Ruy Lopez: Marshall Attack, Steiner Variation is slightly favors black with a 31.8% (90% CI: 31.1%-32.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.