What is the Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense expected score for White?
At all ratings, the Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense has a 50.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.5% and 51.0%), based on 127K Lichess games.
127K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense has a 50.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.5% and 51.0%), based on 127K Lichess games.
Declines with rating: 49% → 44%
Best in Classical (52%), worst in UltraBullet (41%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | — | ||||
| 2500+ | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense has a 48.1% (90% CI: 47.9%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 127K rated games from Lichess.
The Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 51.6% win rate for white (11K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Rapid (50.3%) outperforms Blitz (47.6%) by 2.7%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense has a sharpness score of 94.9 (decisive), meaning 94.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.
At 0-999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense has a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.1%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 5.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense has a 51.6% (90% CI: 50.9%-52.4%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense has a 51.4% (90% CI: 50.7%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.0%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.0%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense has a 47.7% (90% CI: 47.1%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 19K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense has a 45.2% (90% CI: 44.6%-45.7%) win rate for white, based on 22K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense has a 46.5% (90% CI: 45.9%-47.0%) win rate for white, based on 21K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.9% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense has a 43.8% (90% CI: 42.7%-44.8%) win rate for white, based on 5.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 44 moves with a 17.4% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense has a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.4%-48.3%) win rate for white (37K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.6%.
In Blitz games, the Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense has a 47.6% (90% CI: 47.3%-48.0%) win rate for white (70K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.8%.
In Rapid games, the Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense has a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.7%-50.9%) win rate for white (18K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.5%.
In Classical games, the Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense has a 52.0% (90% CI: 49.5%-54.4%) win rate for white (1.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.4%.
The Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense is statistically balanced with a 48.1% (90% CI: 47.9%-48.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.