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Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense, Kevitz Gambit

433 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score45.9%Range (90% confident): 41.9% – 49.8%Based on 433 games
0%45.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 41.9% – 49.8%
Outcome Distribution
43.8%4.0%52.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
4...f5
Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense, Kevitz Gambit
Analyzen=433
Avg Length30 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.0%

What is the Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense, Kevitz Gambit expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense, Kevitz Gambit has a 45.9% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 41.9% and 49.8%), based on 433 Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 40% → 46%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 40.3% win rate (37 games)
  • 1000-1199: 47.4% win rate (46 games)
  • 1200-1399: 37.6% win rate (45 games)
  • 1400-1599: 32.3% win rate (62 games)
  • 1600-1799: 42.1% win rate (71 games)
  • 1800-1999: 45.3% win rate (46 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.8% win rate (63 games)
  • 2200-2499: 55.6% win rate (48 games)
  • 2500+: 45.5% win rate (15 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Blitz (45%), worst in Classical (14%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 41.8% win rate (93 games)
  • Blitz: 44.7% win rate (297 games)
  • Rapid: 43.5% win rate (41 games)
  • Classical: 14.3% win rate (2 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799———
1800-1999——
2000-2199——
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 44.4% expected score (25 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 41.6% expected score (28 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 57.5% expected score (12 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 28.1% expected score (19 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 56.1% expected score (15 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 41.3% expected score (10 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 39.5% expected score (8 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 35.5% expected score (50 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 27.8% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 26.5% expected score (7 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 45.4% expected score (64 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 54.1% expected score (23 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 45.2% expected score (19 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 40.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (15 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (43 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 64.3% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 57.5% expected score (45 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (7 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 55.3% expected score (8 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Ruy Lopez
51.9%
Variations (5)
Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense
51.2%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense
49.9%
Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation
48.7%
Ruy Lopez: Bird Variation
49.9%
Ruy Lopez: Cozio Defense
49.9%
Analyze Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense, Kevitz Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense, Kevitz Gambit win rate?

The Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense, Kevitz Gambit has a 52.1% (90% CI: 48.2%-56.1%) win rate for white, based on 433 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense, Kevitz Gambit perform best?

The Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense, Kevitz Gambit performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 63.8% win rate for white (62 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense, Kevitz Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (51.4%) outperforms Bullet (53.4%) by -2.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense, Kevitz Gambit?

The Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense, Kevitz Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.0 (very decisive), meaning 96.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense, Kevitz Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense, Kevitz Gambit has a 51.4% (90% CI: 46.7%-56.2%) win rate for white (297 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense, Kevitz Gambit a good opening?

The Ruy Lopez: Fianchetto Defense, Kevitz Gambit is statistically balanced with a 52.1% (90% CI: 48.2%-56.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.