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Ruy Lopez: Closed, Yates Variation

39K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score54.0%Range (90% confident): 53.5% – 54.4%Based on 39K games
0%54.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.5% – 54.4%
Outcome Distribution
51.6%4.6%43.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
9.d4
Ruy Lopez: Closed, Yates Variation
Analyzen=39K
Avg Length37 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.6%

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Yates Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Yates Variation has a 54.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.5% and 54.4%), based on 39K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 59% → 54%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 59.1% win rate (395 games)
  • 1000-1199: 53.1% win rate (1,620 games)
  • 1200-1399: 53.0% win rate (3,596 games)
  • 1400-1599: 52.8% win rate (5,791 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.2% win rate (8,143 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.6% win rate (8,994 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.6% win rate (6,393 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.7% win rate (3,720 games)
  • 2500+: 53.6% win rate (624 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (52%), worst in UltraBullet (27%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 27.3% win rate (4 games)
  • Bullet: 52.4% win rate (9,691 games)
  • Blitz: 51.6% win rate (21,978 games)
  • Rapid: 51.1% win rate (7,271 games)
  • Classical: 46.9% win rate (332 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 60.2% expected score (195 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 60.9% expected score (160 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 66.9% expected score (40 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 57.2% expected score (673 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 52.6% expected score (759 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 52.4% expected score (186 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 55.6% expected score (1,144 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 53.6% expected score (1,931 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 55.9% expected score (510 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 26.2% expected score (9 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.2% expected score (1,461 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 55.4% expected score (3,214 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 54.5% expected score (1,068 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 65.5% expected score (47 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (1,580 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 54.0% expected score (4,764 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 52.4% expected score (1,695 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 47.6% expected score (103 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (1,737 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.7% expected score (5,084 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 52.2% expected score (2,057 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 51.3% expected score (116 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.2% expected score (1,284 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.0% expected score (3,819 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 57.4% expected score (1,236 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 53.6% expected score (54 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.7% expected score (1,211 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.5% expected score (2,043 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 58.5% expected score (465 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 58.2% expected score (406 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 52.0% expected score (204 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 56.5% expected score (14 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Ruy Lopez
51.9%
Variations (5)
Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense
55.9%
Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense, Alapin Gambit
53.0%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense
49.9%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Anderssen Variation
48.6%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Berlin Wall
12.2%
Continuations (1)
Ruy Lopez: Closed, Yates Variation, Short Attack
50.1%
Analyze Ruy Lopez: Closed, Yates Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Yates Variation win rate?

The Ruy Lopez: Closed, Yates Variation has a 51.6% (90% CI: 51.2%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 39K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Yates Variation perform best?

The Ruy Lopez: Closed, Yates Variation performs best at 0-999 Elo with a 59.1% win rate for white (395 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Yates Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (52.4%) outperforms Classical (46.9%) by 5.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Yates Variation?

The Ruy Lopez: Closed, Yates Variation has a sharpness score of 95.4 (very decisive), meaning 95.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Yates Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Yates Variation has a 59.1% (90% CI: 55.1%-63.2%) win rate for white, based on 395 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Yates Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Yates Variation has a 53.1% (90% CI: 51.1%-55.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Yates Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Yates Variation has a 53.0% (90% CI: 51.7%-54.4%) win rate for white, based on 3.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Yates Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Yates Variation has a 52.8% (90% CI: 51.8%-53.9%) win rate for white, based on 5.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Yates Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Yates Variation has a 51.2% (90% CI: 50.3%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 8.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Yates Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Yates Variation has a 50.6% (90% CI: 49.8%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 9.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Yates Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Yates Variation has a 50.6% (90% CI: 49.5%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 6.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Yates Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Yates Variation has a 51.7% (90% CI: 50.3%-53.0%) win rate for white, based on 3.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 6.7% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Yates Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Yates Variation has a 53.6% (90% CI: 50.4%-56.9%) win rate for white, based on 624 Lichess games. Average game length is 45 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Yates Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Yates Variation has a 52.4% (90% CI: 51.5%-53.2%) win rate for white (9.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Yates Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Yates Variation has a 51.6% (90% CI: 51.0%-52.1%) win rate for white (22K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Yates Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Yates Variation has a 51.1% (90% CI: 50.1%-52.1%) win rate for white (7.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.2%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Yates Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Yates Variation has a 46.9% (90% CI: 42.4%-51.4%) win rate for white (332 Lichess games). Draw rate is 10.0%.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Yates Variation a good opening?

The Ruy Lopez: Closed, Yates Variation is statistically favors white with a 51.6% (90% CI: 51.2%-52.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 0-999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.